Message from @Maw

Discord ID: 775376418603270174


2020-11-09 14:43:55 UTC  

Appreciate it.

2020-11-09 14:44:27 UTC  

Also it actually was a mostly friendly environment behind the scenes, due to ISIS, Iran, and extremism, israel and several neighbors have been cooperating for years. That is why some thank Obama for this deal (for emboldening Iran).

2020-11-09 14:44:56 UTC  

I haven't had the time yet to delve in depth about the agreement, but I had presumed it included Gaza to start with, so I'm glad you corrected me on that.

2020-11-09 14:45:28 UTC  

But still it is a very hopeful moment and whoever brokered the actual deal probably deserves a lot of credit

2020-11-09 14:46:45 UTC  

Yeah.

2020-11-09 14:46:49 UTC  

Having commercial flights begin between countries is a great start for alleviating a "cold war" scenario, and strengthening bonds between the countries at the very least. Their economies could intermingle and it would be good for all countries involved to remove the stigma with each other.

2020-11-09 14:47:47 UTC  

Yes but I actually think you have it backwards

2020-11-09 14:53:15 UTC  

The stigma is induced, socially and politically, by the media in these (Bahrain, Sudan and UAE) countries, and the politicians that utilize the stigma to gain/remain in power (promises of punishing israel or - in the past, going to war with israel - were used to gain favor). Recently they changed their tune a little. I think in order for such a deal to happen a. the stigma had to have already gone down and b. You can be assured (have hope) that the media is going to change its tune going forward.

And this is even more hope than the deals themselves. The people will now be open to real communication (direct or via their media) instead of absurdities

2020-11-09 14:53:55 UTC  

I mean, this further helps the stigma, don't know how that's backwards.

2020-11-09 14:54:39 UTC  

It's not the foundation, but it's a layer of bricks in the wall of bonds.

2020-11-09 14:56:32 UTC  

I mean the stigma going down is the thing that allowed the deals, and whatever caused that will continue regardless of the deals; the deals are more of an indicator (but ofc you are right, business deals and flights will undoubtedly help as well)

2020-11-09 14:57:10 UTC  

Of course, again, never insinuated it was the foundation of helping the countries, that has likely been in the process for some time already.

2020-11-09 14:58:52 UTC  

I said it's a start for removing the "cold war" scenario.

2020-11-09 15:00:01 UTC  

You don't have to attack each other for a cold war, you just have to have enough hostility to not work together and remove tourism between your countries, on top of other things.

2020-11-09 15:02:48 UTC  

Mhm.


Also discord fix your outage plx

2020-11-09 15:03:19 UTC  

For real. lol.

2020-11-09 15:03:34 UTC  

The official end of the cold war is when the borders opened and the walls came down, if I recall.

2020-11-09 15:03:48 UTC  

Which is why I use that as a definition.

2020-11-09 15:06:51 UTC  

Some obviously may disagree that we've ever stopped the cold war, but it stopped enough to allow tourism between the countries.

2020-11-09 15:07:40 UTC  

And I was actually born in West Germany as the walls came down.

2020-11-09 15:09:03 UTC  

Just before I turned 1.

2020-11-09 15:09:41 UTC  

Actually, it is today that marks the 31st anniversary of that day.

2020-11-09 15:12:20 UTC  

The Iron Curtain fell 31 years ago to this day and ended the cold war between the West and Russia.

2020-11-09 15:14:01 UTC  

Mmm

2020-11-09 16:57:08 UTC  

@Maw The official narrative, but not exactly correct, the soviet union continued to fight for its survival for a couple of more years, till the resistance was crushed.

2020-11-09 16:57:42 UTC  

and I agree to the tourism definition, though I am not sure that is extremely relevant as to geopolitics.

2020-11-09 17:11:07 UTC  

It's a sign of good faith to allow tourism between countries and opening the borders.

2020-11-09 17:12:18 UTC  

As it's often seen as exposing a vulnerability.

2020-11-09 22:37:32 UTC  

Did you see the white house press briefing?

2020-11-09 22:37:51 UTC  

tldw?

2020-11-09 22:40:00 UTC  

That georgia representative mentioned that the hammer ballot thingy was fake news

2020-11-09 22:41:22 UTC  

And trump administration mentioned a bunch of evidence that they are investigating. Like 130 affidavits and a whistle blower and the clerical error thing. I didnt see anything that jumped out to me as new but i didnt watch the whole thing

2020-11-09 22:55:33 UTC  

159 counties seems way to low to converge to some kind of magic rule like that

2020-11-09 22:56:23 UTC  

Actually when I get to my computer I will write a program with 159 random numbers

2020-11-09 22:56:29 UTC  

And we'll see

2020-11-09 22:59:52 UTC  

Well his data is the number of votes in those 159 counties. So his data set is larger than 159. @realz

2020-11-09 23:00:07 UTC  

It's 159 numbers

2020-11-09 23:00:41 UTC  

Running benfords law on 159 numbers you would not expect to see such a smooth curve imo

2020-11-09 23:01:03 UTC  

Maybe if it is broken down into something smaller than counties

2020-11-09 23:01:30 UTC  

But then he'd have a magnitude problem because benfords law only works with numbers that vary over many orders of magnitude