Message from @Doc
Discord ID: 776180260323459102
he demonstrates that the last 2 numbers are uniformly distributed in chicago
except for a blip
there are so few trump voters in some, that with just 1,2 or 3 digits, the last 2 digits are not uniformly distributed
The last 2 numbers I would expect to be uniform in distribution
yep he runs that test
and they are, except for this blip I just explained
` there are so few trump voters in some, that with just 1,2 or 3 digits, the last 2 digits are not uniformly distributed`
Yeah but I am sharing that Benfords law isn’t about what’s being measured. Though what’s being measured could bias what you would expect to see.
you are referring back to the base
> https://youtu.be/CMMbZH-H4ks
@Michele411 the problem I have with this sort of thing is that there is no evidence ... it sounds like a conspiracy theory and I cannot differentiate it from something from a crazy person
(not saying he is a crazy person)
I think Benford's law may be invalidated based on what is being measured ... consider for example a particular voting precinct, the voters in that precinct are relatively fixed, most of them consistently vote one way or another and very few change from election to election
I agree Meglide that the base may effect the law
so the variation in the number of possible combination of vote outcomes is limited
I might just add a base switcher; my guess is that the law will hold in all bases and fail in all bases equally
also different regions or precincts will be strongly influenced towards one party or another
(except for small sigma)
As for whether or not it is accurate here I do not know. I think that something probably happened, but it was a conspiracy of convenience not malice. Many people probably thought it was their duty to ensure Trump not win. I, erring on the side of process, would disagree that it’s right to intervene but understand the argument. Like there are cases where I would put the outcome above the process.
@realz Agreed. He is making statements that I feel is somewhat unbecoming for a higher officer.
its like listening to coast-to-coast
at 3 am
and there is a former officer of the military or FBI
indeed. I expect more from a general.
and he's saying he's seen the grays
very entertaining
but I don't take it seriously
some kind of appeal-to-authority
and not a very great one
indeed
which is dishonest
Aliens are an interesting proposition. Most rational people I know believe aliens exist somewhere and I agree. But no one I know, including me, would believe you if you testified you saw one. Maybe because we subconsciously believe that this type of event would be world wide.
I on the other hand support myself on the notion that the probability of life tends to 0.
If they came only with their word, I wouldn't believe it either.
@Doc Well that’s vague because I am definitely here. I interpret that as you saying it’s a tail end event.
nah, just an anomaly in the essence of science. You are not supposed to be here.
@Zuluzeit agreed. The more unlikely a proposition is the more evidence I require.
Lol extraordinary claims...