Message from @reagent

Discord ID: 492560654931329044


2018-09-20 17:38:07 UTC  

Here's another one that has him leading in hispanics more than whites: https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2565

2018-09-20 17:50:05 UTC  

I don't see how Gillum is supposed to be winning if he's losing whites and hispanics. The black population in Florida is about the national average. Methinks using census data and 2016 turnout overstates expected black turnout, since mid-terms have lower minority turnout, and black voting rates are abysmal relative to their portion of the population.

2018-09-20 20:45:22 UTC  

there's also the fact that florida's population has grown dramatically since 2010

2018-09-20 20:50:29 UTC  

He's winning Cubans according to SurveyUSA.

2018-09-20 20:50:44 UTC  

But non-Cuban Hispanics are like 77% Gillum

2018-09-20 21:17:08 UTC  

Gillum fucking Cucked!?!?

2018-09-20 21:17:12 UTC  

REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

2018-09-21 04:54:36 UTC  

Do you guys think the GOP has a chance to hold FL-27?

2018-09-21 04:57:05 UTC  

Isn't that Curbelo's district?

2018-09-21 04:57:07 UTC  

If so, yes.

2018-09-21 04:57:12 UTC  

I think we'll retain it.

2018-09-21 04:57:48 UTC  

Cuban rep in a Hispanic district where polling strongly favours Curbelo.

2018-09-21 04:58:39 UTC  

No, it's Ileana Ros-Lehtinen's district

2018-09-21 04:58:39 UTC  

Cuberlo is the 26th

2018-09-21 04:58:54 UTC  

Everyone is saying FL-27 is Solid Dem.... but the polling doesn't really bear that out

2018-09-21 04:59:14 UTC  

and the GOP candidate Salazar is leagues better than the Democratic candidate Shalala

2018-09-21 05:00:05 UTC  

AH

2018-09-21 05:00:08 UTC  

No, that's a loss.

2018-09-21 05:00:11 UTC  

Shalala somehow doesn't know Spanish, despite this district being based around Miami, she's also almost 77, and last was in politics as HHS secretary under the Clinton administration

2018-09-21 05:00:13 UTC  

And i'm happy it is.

2018-09-21 05:00:36 UTC  

She co-sponsored the recent 58 billion dollar aid package to Israel atop the largesse they already receive.

2018-09-21 05:01:03 UTC  

who did?

2018-09-21 05:01:04 UTC  

+ she's a turncoat who we're better off losing

2018-09-21 05:01:06 UTC  

Salazar?

2018-09-21 05:01:08 UTC  

Ros-Lehtinen

2018-09-21 05:01:11 UTC  

she isn't running again

2018-09-21 05:01:17 UTC  

Oh, I see.

2018-09-21 05:01:19 UTC  

it's an open seat

2018-09-21 05:01:31 UTC  

But no, I don't think we will.

2018-09-21 05:01:46 UTC  

Maria Salazar is the Republican running

2018-09-21 05:01:49 UTC  

Ros-Lehtinen was a very moderate Republican.

2018-09-21 05:02:16 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399762259619872790/492561180267905025/unknown.png

2018-09-21 05:02:29 UTC  

Salazar also is similarly moderate

2018-09-21 05:02:50 UTC  

I think there is some potential for a shocker here

2018-09-21 05:03:08 UTC  

just like WV-03 could theoretically elect a Democrat, I think FL-27 could return another Republican

2018-09-21 12:45:56 UTC  

@[Lex] polling is apparently showing Salazar (the Republican) up against Shalala

2018-09-21 12:46:15 UTC  

Salazar is apparently some well known hispanic TV host over there

2018-09-21 17:13:25 UTC  

FL-27 is a tossup and FL-26 is tilt R

2018-09-21 17:15:10 UTC  

We’re so lucky to have gotten Salazar. Probably one of the best recruits this cycle.