Message from @Julien Blanc
Discord ID: 495445430780559363
Yep.
Nelson is winning the non-Cuban Hispanic vote by a 20+% margin. SurveyUSA separated them.
They dumped some bullshit polling giving gillum/nelson an over 5 point lead. Anyone else notice that these obviously bad polls appear at the same time? It happens whenever we start doing well in the generic ballot too.
<@&414473793499693066> Uh Oh
Looks like Gillum is getting that HillDawg Bump
lol she has a lower favorability than Trump
to be fair I'm skeptical of favorability ratings either way
> Getting a Presidential Candidate who lost your state to help get you to campaign
Bold strategy
I'm pretty sure they campaigned for Hillary's brother back in the 90s in FL for Senate and he lost every county, including Miami-Dade and Broward. Granted, it was '94 and the guy had jack shit in terms of campaigning resources, but I mean it goes to show, Hillary's support doesn't mean jack shit.
It's more likely to hurt him than help, to be quite honest.
Nelson isn't voting for Kavanaugh. This will hurt him among certain constituencies.
He may as well certify Scott's victory.
Hopefully that leads to general dem depression in turnout which hurts Gillum as well
bad move
why do you consider that to be a bad move
It’s Florida, not North Dakota. The majority of the state probably leans against Kavanaugh
>The majority of the state probably leans against Kavanaugh
why would you say that
so why not convey the idea that he'd be a reliable vote for the likes of Kavanaugh
Florida is not a red state, and almost no democrats support Kavanaugh
Idiot
Only like 25% of people actually believe the claims
Those are all probably from people who already opposed Kavanaugh
Generally, people want SC nominees passed
In all of the ads Bill Nelson has put up for re-election, he's put "one of the most independent senators" near the end every time.
In swing states, attacking these Senators on the Kavanaugh issue is a good plan.
Especially if there ends up being an FBI investigation, it seems that he's innocent, and they still vote no.
The media likes to spread this idea that republicans can't win on their own, but democrats are all 100% united and just have to show up to win. They like to push this to encourage republicans to cuck out. The truth is that most republicans support Kavanaugh, and the democrats who aren't totally insane don't like how democratic senators are behaving.
It's hard to tell, because the media and people of influence are all calling Kavanaugh a rapist and trying to make the republicans look bad.
You say "the democrats who aren't totally insane"... That's only maybe 25% of them, tops.
But probably much less
@lancerelliott {CARTHAGE} Who are you voting for on November 6
Damn I didn't hear anything about this. https://www.tampabay.com/florida-politics/buzz/2017/12/08/andrew-gillum-donald-trump-should-be-impeached-now/
Not sure if it's me being uninformed or republicans being shit at disseminating info this year.