Message from @Pielover19

Discord ID: 465744422726926336


2018-07-09 04:17:50 UTC  

"I've been taking Wellbutrin for about a year and a half and it's been amazing for my depression but reacquainting myself with my sex drive has been weird. It's very cyclical for me. When I'm ovulating or on my period, it's overwhelming to the point of being distracting. I feel like I could jump on any man and just go to town. In the weeks between, it's super chill and I could do without, no problem."

2018-07-09 04:23:50 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/417896427713200138/465734806395682816/unknown.png

2018-07-09 04:24:52 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/417896427713200138/465735064026742784/51YUpRjmRHL.png

2018-07-09 04:32:43 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/417896427713200138/465737040697360388/2020_sweep.PNG

2018-07-09 04:41:09 UTC  

2018 Bernie vs. Cruz

2018-07-09 04:41:13 UTC  

Or 2020

2018-07-09 04:41:33 UTC  

Best case scenario for Bernie.

2018-07-09 04:50:22 UTC  

<:youtube:335112740957978625> **Searching** 🔎 `https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=onX5xtEwkjE&list=WL&index=117`

2018-07-09 04:50:23 UTC  

**Playing** 🎶 `Esskeetit, Lil Pump` - Now!

2018-07-09 04:54:39 UTC  

<:youtube:335112740957978625> **Searching** 🔎 `https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y5IPUV_k-k4`

2018-07-09 04:54:39 UTC  

**Playing** 🎶 `J-Walking in Death Valley` - Now!

2018-07-09 04:58:25 UTC  

Hypothetical House coattail effect of the SCOTUS Senate victory

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/417896427713200138/465743508586758170/unknown.png

2018-07-09 05:02:03 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/417896427713200138/465744422001442836/1531095687388.png

2018-07-09 05:19:50 UTC  

@Pielover19 The NPVIC is concerning. It's important that it doesn't pass in PA.

2018-07-09 05:22:17 UTC  

If the NPVIC is passed, we just need to rig the damn polls.

2018-07-09 05:23:10 UTC  

Because you know they already rigged the popular vote when it was symbolic bullshit

2018-07-09 15:22:06 UTC  
2018-07-09 15:22:06 UTC  

<:youtube:335112740957978625> **Searching** 🔎 `https://youtu.be/mc8JAlgLClk`

2018-07-09 15:22:07 UTC  

**Playing** 🎶 `They Don't Have a Clue! 😂` - Now!

2018-07-09 23:16:03 UTC  

@everyone Get in Voice Chat. We'll be discussing the SCOTUS pick and other miscellaneous topics

2018-07-09 23:16:31 UTC  

Has he picked yet

2018-07-09 23:16:49 UTC  

@Deleted User 9pm eastern time

2018-07-09 23:17:01 UTC  

Kkkool

2018-07-09 23:17:07 UTC  

Heck off

2018-07-09 23:17:25 UTC  

odds +125 Brett Kavanaugh
+150 Amy Coney Barrett
+250 Thomas Hardiman
+300 patrick wyrick
+450 britt grant
+550 keith blackwell
+600 Tom Fitton
+900 kevin newsom
+1100 mike lee
+1100 amul thapar
+1250 joan larsen
+1500 Ted Cruz
+2500 Rand Paul
+5000 Judge Judy
+10000 Alex Jones
+12500 Donald Trump Junior
+150000 Donald J. Trump
+500000 Barrack Obama
+1000000 Jeb Bush(edited)

2018-07-09 23:22:46 UTC  

👏 👏 👏
So excited to see SCOTUS pick
🍿 🍿 🍿

2018-07-09 23:23:52 UTC  

Who do you guys think it's going to be?

2018-07-09 23:24:35 UTC  

I would love to be a fly on the wall with POTUS kitchen cabinet.

2018-07-09 23:24:43 UTC  

@BobbyE Kavanaugh

2018-07-09 23:38:46 UTC  

<EASIEST>

1. John Kerry or any other conventional gimmick-less old white male politiician: John Kerry already has the baggage of losing to Bush in 2004, plus the fact that he'd be 77 years old, plus the fact that he isn't very charismatic, plus the fact that he's a white male (at least Hillary had the woman card), plus the fact that his policies are generic and uninspiring. Trump would get as close as possible to winning all 50 states in this scenario (even ones like New York) - maybe only Vermont, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island would still go blue.

Sadly, I don't think Kerry or any other candidate has a chance of being nominated unless the Democratic leadership tries to rig it again for some reason.

Kerry would just get the "anyone but Trump vote." Many potential anti-Trump voters would just stay home or vote 3rd Party.

2. Hillary Clinton: lost to Trump in 2016, and in 2020 Trump will have won back much of the conservative NeverTrumper vote, which will at the very least net him all of his 2016 states, plus New Hampshire, Minnesota, Nevada, Maine-At-Large - maybe Colorado, Virginia...in better scenarios, even New Mexico and more.

She would get the "anyone but Trump vote" + "I want a woman vote."

3. Corey Booker / Kirsten Gillibrand / Kamala Harris / conventional politician with a gimmick like being minority or female or both. They're pretty much like Hillary Clinton, except younger and less baggage. They still have the problem of being dependent on corporate money, so the progressive wing of the party would look down on them. Booker is basically a discount Obama, Gillibrand is a discount Hillary (or a slightly better version of Hillary).

^These are the likeliest options right now.

They would get the "anyone but Trump vote" + "I want a woman/minority vote" + a small fraction of moderates/independents. It's likely Trump still wins all his 2016 states, plus New Hampshire, Minnesota, and Nevada.



@Deleted User

2018-07-09 23:39:03 UTC  

4. Bernie Sanders. More difficult than anyone above this list, but still very much beatable because of the fact that he'd be subject to much more scrutiny and criticism this time around, plus the fact that he's be 78/79 in 2020. Realize that there were certain...negative things about him that weren't brought to light in 2016 because his only opponent was Hillary in the Democratic primary, and Hillary didn't want to attack him too hard and risk losing his left-wing supporters in the general election.

Sure, he can win the people who stayed home rather than vote for Hillary, but that can be offset by the people who voted Romney then voted for Hillary who would be more willing to go for Trump than Bernie. It can also be offset by all the people who would be turned off by him being agnostic, by him having his honeymoon in the Soviet Union back in 1988 (millennials don't care so much about his socialist advocacy, but there will still be many older voters in 2020 who would just drop their support once they know of that fact; I also doubt the millionaires and billionaires who were willing to fund Hillary would be willing to fund him), by him not having any job other than being a politician, etc.

Also, it's possible he won't even be alive or in enough of a physically energetic state to run a Presidential campaign, much less be the President.