that's where the ads played, on a plane ride

so I just compared the Senate 2014 Primary total in Texas to the Senate 2018 Primary total

percent increase for the GOP of 17.4%

now, let's assume that we have the same percent increase for the nationwide vote count (thing is, it could vary quite a bit ,but let's just assume it for simplicity)

a percent increase of 17.4% from a 40,081,282 total is 47,055,425

now, maybe the nationwide total will be higher or lower, but let's assume it's going to be that

now, let's take a look at the Democrats' total in 2006

which was 42,338,795

if the nationwide total is 47,055,425 to 42,338,795 that's going to be an increase in R seats

but the thing is, that's based on assumptions that might be completely faulty

1. That the percent increase from 2014 to 2018 in TX Primaries is going to be the same percent increase nationwide
2. That D's won't get as high a raw vote count in 2018 as they did in 2006

But yeah, looking to the election in LA-02, it takes very wild circumstances for an R to win in a black majority district.

I think it could have been by a wider margin if it wasn't the same election Obama ran in

The justification people gave was...

It was raining on the day of the run-off so black turnout was very low.

heh

Surprise surprise, we won by TURNOUT

In a 67% black district

Actually to be serious

Dollar Bill Jefferson's corruption case helped a ton.

@Nuke have you ever been to New Orleans? What do you think of that place

@Deleted User of course I have haha

I live in suburban New Orleans.

New Orleans is a massive ghetto.

There's better areas

but it's like

There are people in New Orleans who will steal cars and then drive them off the road and then back into the road to destroy it to not be bored

We need welfare cuts, and we need them now.

They cut my dad's pension for THAT.

And that's in a better area where white people shop

There are nightclubs with snipers on them in New Orleans East.

New Orleans East is like, a former "suburb in the city" that is now basically 90% black

It was made for whites' starter homes/apartments/condos.

So black single moms moved into them as they were cheap.

Most of New Orleans is horrible and full of crime. Tourist zones are typically safe due to heavy, heavily-armed police presences.

Overall I kinda like it I guess

yeah this Jewish chick I met, who is a transplant to New Orleans from Los Angeles, told me she got accosted by some kid with a gun who looked scare and was probably doing it for gang initiation...apparently the kid bitched out and ran away

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qKL9l1e6BOk

this is her. She's SJW but thankfully wasn't the sanctimonious, bitter, negative kind . I didn't talk politics with her though, but I'm sure she assumed I was on the left given the fact that I'm from NYC and nonwhite

I didn't even know New Orleans had these types, but go figure

https://www.predictit.org/Contract/7890/Will-Trump-Build-a-wall%2c-and-make-Mexico-pay-for-it-by-12-31-18#data

Making mexico pay for it is a bit of a stretch, but damn, 5 cents?

https://www.predictit.org/Contract/11070/Will-Trump-meet-with-Kim-Jong-Un-in-North-Korea-in-2018#data
20 cents? Kim already invited Trump to North Korea next month.

I am going to put so much money on that second one, damn dude.

Such easy money, you can skim a lot of shit from people who don't know their shit about politics.