Message from @Nuke
Discord ID: 459647989040939020
I saw one on my plane ride from FL to CA.
there's another one though where he goes "I support marriage equality and equal pay for equal work"
He really shouldn't do that.
it's NJ though
really shouldn't do what ?
No, I mean paying for out of state ads
That's just stupid.
ah, well there are lots of New Jerseyites in New York I guess
not on a plane from FL to CA
actually, I think the channel my mom watches often features New Jersey news
oh
hmm
Yeah, also it's kinda inevitable
yeah, I wonder why that happened
I see a lot of ads for elections in neighboring parishes.
FL to CA doesn't make sense
It's just the ad money is so expensive over in NJ, and I get he's a rich guy
But I think physical signs would be a lot more effective than ad space
There were people from my parish and CD who wore Cao shirts after he won in LA-2 in 2008.
Which was a massive upset
In a big Democrat-moving year where Obama had coattails the dude won a majority-black district as a Republican
total vote count in 2018 for the GOP is probably going to be higher than in 2014, but not as high as in 2006
40,081,282
oh, and a lot of big chains advertise but don't do business in Southeast Louisiana
They might be in Mississippi, Texas, or another region of Louisiana though.
total vote count in 2018 for the Democrats is probably going to be quite a bit higher than in 2014, maybe around the same as in 2006
42,338,795
there's a good chance it could be less though
So I could see a NJ candidate buying ads in NYC.
or the entire state of New York
Well that's realistic
But Florida/California isn't
What about FL/CA?
that's where the ads played, on a plane ride
so I just compared the Senate 2014 Primary total in Texas to the Senate 2018 Primary total
percent increase for the GOP of 17.4%
now, let's assume that we have the same percent increase for the nationwide vote count (thing is, it could vary quite a bit ,but let's just assume it for simplicity)
a percent increase of 17.4% from a 40,081,282 total is 47,055,425
now, maybe the nationwide total will be higher or lower, but let's assume it's going to be that
now, let's take a look at the Democrats' total in 2006
which was 42,338,795
if the nationwide total is 47,055,425 to 42,338,795 that's going to be an increase in R seats
but the thing is, that's based on assumptions that might be completely faulty
1. That the percent increase from 2014 to 2018 in TX Primaries is going to be the same percent increase nationwide
2. That D's won't get as high a raw vote count in 2018 as they did in 2006