tbh, I'm not hopeful for legislation this term

we can barely pass anything as is

and we are going to lose some seats

I would rather have Republican establishmentarian than socialism, wouldn’t you?

It all depends on the margin.

this election is about preventing Republicans from losing Committee control in the House, and maintaining enough control in the Senate to survive 2020 losses and to keep appointing justices

And personally, both of them are equally disgusting.

If we have a solid lead in the senate and maybe 224-226 house seats then I think we can get the wall and repeal obongo care.

No they aren’t, there’s a clear difference. They are far from equivalent

Can you say that while you have Ron Paul as your dp?

If we lose here then our next chance will be 2020-2022 where republicans win back the house and presumably hold the Senate.

They both present problems of similar gravity in different areas.

@[Lex] Yes. I hate both, but that doesn’t mean I don’t have a clear favorite week it comes to picking which one I would rather have

McCain single handily ruined Trump's first two years though.

^

McCain is an example of one of these gentlemen.

I'll be fighting tooth and nail for a Republican House and Senate but I won't lie and saying I don't have preferences.

Not all congressmen are born equal.

And I'll always support a Republican over a Democrat, some far more reluctantly than others however.

Honestly I don’t see a way in which we can retain the house. It just isn’t going to happen. The Dems already are already halfway there by means of auto gains like Comstock, LoBiondo, Blum, Paulsen, and Coffman’s districts

It’s borderline Safe D

and many of the Republicans who have a chance to survive, like Cuberlo, Hurd, Dunham, Valadao are moderates - so even if we hold the House, I'm not sure we get major legislation passed

the time for that, I think is 2020 - hope Trump coattails bring in enough new Republicans

Time is ticking, gentlemen.

That demographic clock.

The demographic clock can work in our advantage if we play our cards white. If republican vs democrat explicitly becomes whites vs everyone else then we can expect to break new ground up North. R vs D will never die, but the parties themselves are going to change immensely in the next 50 years.

play our cards right* lol

That's very true but we'll have to sweep ALL of them to compensate for Texas, Florida, Arizona, soon Georgia, North Carolina and so on.

I don't even know how you do that.

@Yellowhammer "Honestly I don’t see a way in which we can retain the house. It just isn’t going to happen"

bullshit. cut that talk out of this discord

Blacks aren't growing. GA and NC are safe. Best case scenario is TX and AZ being a pure toss up while the rust-belt flips decisively republican and possibly some of the Northwest and New England.

Mm, they're growing a few percentage points over each decade.

But Georgia and NC will likely be tossups very soon.

Well, perhaps not actually.

It's all about how fast whites become Republicans.

@Julien Blanc I don’t want that to happen, and it troubles me every day. It’s going to be horrible.
I just don’t lie to myself and give myself false hope.
It will probably be even worse than I think it’s going to be.

@Yellowhammer I think your predictions are considerably more pessimistic than even the raw numbers suggest.

Ultimately, we'll have to wait for election night but I highly doubt it'll be as bad as that.

Incumbents that poll below 50% within the MOE during wave years generally lose.

And we have lots of those...

There will be a few bright spots come November but ultimately the outcome is pretty much laid in stone. The writing is all over the wall.