Message from @[Lex]
Discord ID: 494350524985114625
I'd definitely give the edge to McSally at this point
yep
Definitely contributes to the 'Hollywood Sinema' narrative, plays into our hand very well
Current prediction
Here’s what I think would be the best possible outcome
@Rhodesiaboo honestly Klobuchar (Minnesota) is easier than Heinrich ( New Mexico)
Maybe
Also (((Klobuchar)))
Lol, that’s impossible.
The only dem incumbents who are in any danger are Heitkamp, McCaskill, Nelson, Tester, and Donnelly.
And we’ll probably only flip 2 of those, 3 if we’re lucky.
I'd say that's too pessimistic of an outlook
I agree with RS.
But I also assume that your toss-up there actually refers to Johnson winning
That said
Other than Emerson, most non-Libertarian polls actually show Rich in second.
Our best hope in NM is for Johnson to target and go after Democrat voters.
@Yellowhammer You're grossly underestimating the GOP right now.
and overestimating Democrats' popularity
The GOP even has a chance in New Jersey right now.
No it doesn’t
We’re going to lose all but one New Jersey house seat
And Hugin doesn’t have a chance
@Yellowhammer I dunno you might be too influenced by the echo chamber at US Election Atlas
@Julien Blanc No, actually. I’m just influenced by the facts. Thinking that we can pick off a dem incumbent in a solid blue state in a blue wave year was always a fantasy.
I wish it weren’t true, but that’s just how it is.
stop it with the defeatism
there's looking at our situation realistically and then there's whiny despair
I’m not defeatist. I think we can increase our senate majority, we just have to play our cards right and not waste time and money on safe blue seats.
these aren't safe blue seats though
we're forfeiting more than we have to if you believe EVERYTHING except one seat in NJ is definitely gone
chin up, alright?
@Yellowhammer you said the GOP only has a 5% chance of keeping the House though
every pessimist claims they're a realist
That’s true. There are already almost a dozen seats that are as good as gone, and dozens more where the dem is favored
> dozens more where the dem is favored
nah
Yes, I can list them if you’d like
We've got a 50% chance of winning the House.