Message from @FLanon
Discord ID: 498162380124061706
Considering changing North Dakota and Tennessee to Likely Red
Even Button is sure that we'll pick that one up.
In fact...
North Dakota: Lean Republican to Likely Republican
@Pielover19 I agree wholly.
"The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election handicapper, shifted three Senate races in favor of Republicans as well as one Senate race toward Democrats less than five weeks out from the midterm elections."
"Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) faces one of the most competitive race this cycle, which was shifted from "lean Democratic" to "toss-up." '
EXCELLENT.
btw @Pielover19
"Even Button is sure that we'll pick that one up."
any race that Button thinks will go to the GOP should be considered Safe R
I still don’t think they’re going to win Ohio
You see, I predicted Cook's ratings.
Cook is retarded
I still expect to win TN, but I think ND is more likely at this point.
What's with PA?
We're more likely to get NJ at this point than that
A dude who built his career on the pro-life community, whose father was the _Casey_ suing to overturn _Roe_ in _Planned Parenthood v. Casey_, voted against Kavanaugh, and voted for federal funding of the very organization his father wanted to essentially outlaw.
I think we have to wait for polling to come on this issue before we begin jumping to conclusions on that
This very well may have harmed him in the way you described, we need to see that evident in further polling before we can change ratings though
there were polls that had Hillary at double digit leads in Pennsylvania
Casey will win very easily
There was a poll that had Hillary leading Trump in Ohio by 10
a poll from mid-october wouldn't have mattered since trump regained his momentum by the end of the month
They still believed Hillary would have won the state
@AnonFrom/b/ where's that from? 538?
the 2016 forecast yeah
@Rhodesiaboo but they showed her losing it
The last poll said Clinton was up by 1
And at the same time there was one which showed him up by 6
He overperformed, but it wasn't a 100% repudiation of the polls within that state
the polls were off because they were taken before the last minute swing
voters who decided in the last week of the election went strongly for trump @FLanon
Nate Silver is known for being wrong on many occasions, which makes sense given his *natural* bias.
good datapoint in Missouri
pretty great!