Message from @reagent
Discord ID: 500469696831684628
inb4 *omggggg junk poll*
The NYT is famous for its neo-nazi bias
I believe Nate Cohn is a Nazi himself.
*anyone who believes these polls is a fascist!*
Good news @FLanon @[Lex] @Pielover19 @Nuke @reagent
If you added all 12 undecideds who prefer Republicans to retain control of the Senate to Cruz’s percentage, you get 51% + (12/42 * 5%) = 52.43%. Add the 8 who approve of Trump, and you get 51% + (20/42 * 5%) = 53.38%.
If you added all 6 undecideds who prefer the Democrats take control of the Senate to O’Rourke’s percentage, you get 43% + (6/42 * 5%) = 43.71%
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https://twitter.com/ComfortablySmug/status/1050737887669563393
lmao thanks for sharing this @reagent
Chemicals. In. The. Water.
Contrail Kyrsten!
@Julien Blanc https://uselectionatlas.org/ENDORSE/SENATE/2018/endorse.php Do you think the Atlas endorsements in MD & DE look like good indicators?
Carper has a domestic violence scandal (and he admitted he did it) and Maryland has a black Republican.
I wish Drumpf would've talked about Rennaci more during that rally. It's great that he's trying to get people to vote for himself by proxy, but so few people even know these rust belt guys' names.
there was an Ohio rally today?
yes
Pretty low energy. Kansas was absolutely on fire because it was the same day as Kavanaugh's confirmation. Iowa was great too. This one wasn't as bad as places like North Dakota and Montana though. Gonna watch PA later.
I wonder if she's voting for McSally or Sinema
there's no reason for her to not vote McSally
McCain may be annoying, but aside from your Boot/Will/Navaro/Scarborough/McMullin types getting paychecks from CNN/MSNBC - no GOP politico has any real reason to oppose McSally
highly informed voters/commenters rarely swing unless their entire ideology changes
the vast majority of swing voters are low information
Probably McSally
@reagenet
@reagent I wonder how the Democrats will do with low-info swing voters this year
I hope we get another rally in Ohio
if only they did this for citizens effected by it
Debate: Jon Tester vs Matt Rosendale
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yPPBiZcunmk
and there's another one happening right this moment
I was examining some of the demographic data of the Nevadan poll. It undersamples minorities by two percent but luckily for the Republicans it oversamples women and younger people.
Unfortunately they were unable to ascertain whether the undecided voters were more of a GOP or Democrat slant.
Which is to suggest they're rather split.
If they're split, that's also a reasonably good sign for the Republican.
@[Lex] did you check out the raw data
Not yet.