Message from @Yellowhammer

Discord ID: 493244194035597312


2018-09-23 02:10:46 UTC  

but now, given the shift in education support, that can help the Dems in some districts

2018-09-23 02:12:23 UTC  

Which is funny because the only thing Dems offer them in return for their votes is taxing more of their money and shaming them for “whites privilege” BS

2018-09-23 02:12:44 UTC  

the one asterix on this, is that White College Educated is young skewed

2018-09-23 02:12:57 UTC  

so maybe the shift isn't as bad as we think, since Millennial turnout is abysmal in midterms

2018-09-23 02:12:59 UTC  

but... idk

2018-09-23 02:13:31 UTC  

I do know that Whites aged 18-22 vote no differently if they are in college than if they are outside of college

2018-09-23 02:13:37 UTC  

don't know if that trend carries over to other ages

2018-09-23 02:13:47 UTC  

The extreme shifts in WCE areas from 2012 and current polling indicates that it is pretty darn near apocalyptic for the GOP

2018-09-23 02:14:06 UTC  

Blum is a pretty right wing candidate

2018-09-23 02:14:08 UTC  

doesn't surprise me

2018-09-23 02:14:18 UTC  

Blum will lose by almost 20 points

2018-09-23 02:14:22 UTC  

Presidential turnout won't help him like last time

2018-09-23 02:14:28 UTC  

That's excessive, but him losing by 10 wouldn't surprise me

2018-09-23 02:14:53 UTC  

I agree he's certain to lose though

2018-09-23 02:14:54 UTC  

The WWC swings towards the Dems in Iowa are ungodly. It is back to voting like it’s 2008

2018-09-23 02:15:06 UTC  

I think there's a little bit of that

2018-09-23 02:15:42 UTC  

very White areas as pretty elastic politically

2018-09-23 02:15:55 UTC  

I’m pretty sure that Kim Reynolds will lose. Steve Kong might be the only republican member of the delegation to survive

2018-09-23 02:15:56 UTC  

and these people don't have a long history of voting GOP

2018-09-23 02:16:12 UTC  

IA-03 is still viable I think

2018-09-23 02:16:19 UTC  

Yes

2018-09-23 02:16:31 UTC  

But it’s tilt R at best and could easily fall

2018-09-23 02:19:10 UTC  

>VA-10
>Red

2018-09-23 02:19:15 UTC  

doubt.jpg

2018-09-23 02:44:25 UTC  

Goodnight everyone

2018-09-24 10:42:46 UTC  

@Yellowhammer You made NJ 05 dark blue?

2018-09-24 10:42:50 UTC  

Like what the fuck?

2018-09-24 10:46:07 UTC  

look at first map

2018-09-24 10:46:12 UTC  

then look at nj 05

2018-09-24 12:42:43 UTC  

Gottheimer is not losing in this environment, so NJ-05 is Likely D.
His seat may be in reach in 2020 though. @WildRooHuntingTutorials

2018-09-24 12:42:44 UTC  

🆙 | **Yellowhammer leveled up!**

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207253860515851/493764222115643423/levelup.png

2018-09-24 19:33:34 UTC  

Is this Drumpf's fascist strategy to win the midterms?

2018-09-24 19:33:46 UTC  

Kill off all challengers in the other party?

2018-09-24 19:33:49 UTC  

Despicable.

2018-09-24 19:49:40 UTC  

What was her name?

2018-09-24 20:00:00 UTC  

She was running in FL-17, which is just adjacent to my district

2018-09-24 20:00:23 UTC  

I see

2018-09-24 20:00:35 UTC  

What did she die of?