Just as the Cornish are not human.

I'm a firm believer in animal rights however.

The Cornish are barely an ethnic group. They're just English.

how dare you

Looked into why Cao lost LA-2 in 2010 in more detail than "hur dur 67% black district"

Apparently he had two very badly timed votes

One conservative vote in 2009 where he voted against Obama's stimulus package (on the basis that it didn't contain enough earmarks for LA-2) and one liberal vote on Obamacare right before he got voted out of office

The stimulus part is good to know because it justifies what I'd previously heard about blacks in New Orleans feeling as though their Republican Representative had effectively lost their representation.

@Nuke the reason the democrat lost is because he was embroiled in a corruption investigation

cao lost it the very next year

midterms*

and the democrat incumbent before cao was sentenced to 13 years in prison

THAT'S why it flipped.

Yeah I know that

and despite that, cao only won by the skin of his teeth

which is amazing, yes

so yes, demographics and district characteristics matter hugely. your single citation doesn't disprove that.

in fact, they're the single most important factor

touchy

not at all, dude. lol. i'm rebutting you.

I'm curious because I want to redistrict LA-2 so that it switches to the GOP.

@[Lex] rhodesiaboo has some redeeming factors

Autism is a helpful force, Lex.

@Ghawk Do you have an estimate for how big a CD should be following the 2020 census?

@Nuke I had a map of states that I knew for a fact were going to lose congressional districts, states that were going to gain one, and states that may gain one, but I would have to see where I even put that.

Alright thanks.

RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES

AZ-02: Safe Democrat to Likely Democrat
FL-27: Safe Democrat to Likely Democrat
CO-06: Tossup to Tilt Democrat

http://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/MK2LkmV

if NJ 0-5 goes blue, it's time for the district to be redrawn

the far eastern sliver

should not control an entire big district

Hoping we can make Iowa completely red

It is more likely to be completely blue. Loebsack is completely safe, Blum will lose by almost 20 points, and Young is a tossup

Even Steve King is not invulnerable

Though he’ll probably win

Let's not focus on probabilities and focus on the activism, alright?

yep

but Iowa completely blue? lmao you gotta stop spending too much time on US Election Atlas @Yellowhammer

It’s very unlikely, but more likely than all red @Julien Blanc

King is awesome he should run for senate