Message from @Julien Blanc

Discord ID: 500074791265370112


2018-10-11 18:32:22 UTC  

that's not so bad

2018-10-11 18:35:17 UTC  

oh, must be confusing that for a different one

2018-10-11 18:45:44 UTC  

yeah MN-08 is currently occupied by a Democratic incumbent who is retiring

2018-10-11 18:45:48 UTC  

Trump won the district by a decent margin

2018-10-11 18:46:01 UTC  

it's one of the few potential D->R pickups this year

2018-10-11 18:53:49 UTC  

>only

2018-10-11 18:53:59 UTC  

House wise at least

2018-10-11 19:21:10 UTC  

HEY EVERYONE

If you live in the US, google local elections coming up and volunteer a few evenings to help out the campaign in your state. The benefits you can deliver may provide the push needed to secure seats. But the more significant impact is the personal/professional/political networks and experience you gain. You will be able to better understand the system, and by doing so, develop yourself for activism that delievers impacts during the "off season". It can open a lot of doors for you as well. Get a friend or two to join you and encourage them to involve other folks. We need young, energetic, and involved people to drive home the message that the conservative/nationalist message resonates with the people and inspire those who feel hopeless.

Thanks.

2018-10-11 22:32:51 UTC  

Salazar +2 in FL-27 per Mason Dixon

2018-10-11 22:32:59 UTC  

i cannot believe the Dems are going to lose that seat

2018-10-11 22:35:04 UTC  

we'll see

2018-10-11 22:35:36 UTC  

that's Ros-Lethinen's seat?

2018-10-11 22:35:53 UTC  

Yes

2018-10-11 22:36:00 UTC  

They are basically throwing it away

2018-10-11 22:36:23 UTC  

It's an area where Republicans win minorities; they realize they cannot truly compete.

2018-10-11 22:36:24 UTC  

ShaLOLa might still win, but it will only be by luck if she does

2018-10-11 22:38:17 UTC  

Fitzpatrick was leading by 4 in a recent Monmouth poll

2018-10-11 22:38:22 UTC  

but is currently getting clobbered

2018-10-11 22:38:25 UTC  

poll isn't over yet though

2018-10-11 22:38:41 UTC  

not even at 250 yet

2018-10-11 22:39:21 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207253860515851/500074962166480916/samplingerror.PNG

2018-10-11 22:40:25 UTC  

That's some margin.

2018-10-11 22:40:27 UTC  

I don't believe it.

2018-10-11 22:40:36 UTC  

The recent House polls, while the sample sizes are laughable at the moment, are beginning in an ominous fashion.

2018-10-11 22:40:49 UTC  

Hopefully the Democratic lead erodes over time.

2018-10-11 22:41:24 UTC  

well, Comstock has long been thought of as perhaps the most doomed GOP House incumbent

2018-10-11 22:41:40 UTC  

the PA-01 results are odd so far though

2018-10-11 22:41:48 UTC  

To be fair, I think Fitzpatrick has gone far left enough that the "forced abortion" issue is literally all we can get.

2018-10-11 23:10:41 UTC  

This (PA-01) might end up being another outlier like the NJ-03 one that has MacArthur down 10

2018-10-11 23:11:23 UTC  

Several reputable pollsters have found Fitz up by around 5 pts

2018-10-12 00:51:00 UTC  

Might have to move this to tossup.

2018-10-12 01:11:19 UTC  

RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES:
VA-02: Lean Republican to Likely Republican
FL-27: Likely Democrat to Tilt Democrat
CA-49: Tossup to Tilt Democrat

2018-10-12 03:46:16 UTC  

VA-02 ❤

2018-10-12 05:21:27 UTC  

check this out guys

2018-10-12 05:21:30 UTC  
2018-10-12 05:22:04 UTC  

if I add all the Undecideds who also Approve of Trump to Lee Zeldin's percentage...he only falls just short of his 2014 performance

2018-10-12 05:22:10 UTC  

with 2014 being a Republican wave year

2018-10-12 05:22:11 UTC  

lmao