Message from @Liberty Spectre

Discord ID: 500025084434448385


2018-10-11 16:41:37 UTC  

If we have a really good turn out we could take NY 19 and 22

2018-10-11 16:42:33 UTC  

I decided Minnesota 8 is lean R

2018-10-11 16:47:58 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207253860515851/499986530765504533/Screenshot_2018-10-11_at_12.47.34_PM.png

2018-10-11 17:38:18 UTC  

My latest House prediction

2018-10-11 17:38:31 UTC  

Minor fix

2018-10-11 18:18:57 UTC  

they're polling MN-08 again

2018-10-11 18:19:00 UTC  

they did it last month

2018-10-11 18:19:05 UTC  

so let's hope that Stauber improved

2018-10-11 18:24:19 UTC  

Can't be any worse than that last one

2018-10-11 18:32:16 UTC  

well, the last one showed Stauber and Radinovich neck and neck

2018-10-11 18:32:22 UTC  

that's not so bad

2018-10-11 18:35:17 UTC  

oh, must be confusing that for a different one

2018-10-11 18:45:44 UTC  

yeah MN-08 is currently occupied by a Democratic incumbent who is retiring

2018-10-11 18:45:48 UTC  

Trump won the district by a decent margin

2018-10-11 18:46:01 UTC  

it's one of the few potential D->R pickups this year

2018-10-11 18:53:49 UTC  

>only

2018-10-11 18:53:59 UTC  

House wise at least

2018-10-11 19:21:10 UTC  

HEY EVERYONE

If you live in the US, google local elections coming up and volunteer a few evenings to help out the campaign in your state. The benefits you can deliver may provide the push needed to secure seats. But the more significant impact is the personal/professional/political networks and experience you gain. You will be able to better understand the system, and by doing so, develop yourself for activism that delievers impacts during the "off season". It can open a lot of doors for you as well. Get a friend or two to join you and encourage them to involve other folks. We need young, energetic, and involved people to drive home the message that the conservative/nationalist message resonates with the people and inspire those who feel hopeless.

Thanks.

2018-10-11 22:32:51 UTC  

Salazar +2 in FL-27 per Mason Dixon

2018-10-11 22:32:59 UTC  

i cannot believe the Dems are going to lose that seat

2018-10-11 22:35:04 UTC  

we'll see

2018-10-11 22:35:36 UTC  

that's Ros-Lethinen's seat?

2018-10-11 22:35:53 UTC  

Yes

2018-10-11 22:36:00 UTC  

They are basically throwing it away

2018-10-11 22:36:23 UTC  

It's an area where Republicans win minorities; they realize they cannot truly compete.

2018-10-11 22:36:24 UTC  

ShaLOLa might still win, but it will only be by luck if she does

2018-10-11 22:38:17 UTC  

Fitzpatrick was leading by 4 in a recent Monmouth poll

2018-10-11 22:38:22 UTC  

but is currently getting clobbered

2018-10-11 22:38:25 UTC  

poll isn't over yet though

2018-10-11 22:38:41 UTC  

not even at 250 yet

2018-10-11 22:39:21 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207253860515851/500074962166480916/samplingerror.PNG

2018-10-11 22:40:25 UTC  

That's some margin.

2018-10-11 22:40:27 UTC  

I don't believe it.

2018-10-11 22:40:36 UTC  

The recent House polls, while the sample sizes are laughable at the moment, are beginning in an ominous fashion.

2018-10-11 22:40:49 UTC  

Hopefully the Democratic lead erodes over time.

2018-10-11 22:41:24 UTC  

well, Comstock has long been thought of as perhaps the most doomed GOP House incumbent

2018-10-11 22:41:40 UTC  

the PA-01 results are odd so far though