Message from @Deleted User
Discord ID: 422831203104587796
they said PA was Clinton+4
on November 1
lol
Did anyone read that article I posted? I really feel that if that analysis was correct then Lamb winning is nearly impossible. It would have to be a massive blowout
I'll check it
In class
Anyone check the weather for the areas *under* Pittsburgh?
"The Monmouth poll was conducted March 8-11 — with most of the interviews coming before Trump’s rally last Saturday night in the district. But the poll indicates Trump’s backing of Saccone may be a wash for the Republican nominee."
hmm
"“Voters are divided on the potential impact of tariffs. It doesn’t seem that the president’s gambit paid off in this race if that was his intent,” said Murray. Still, he noted that the poll was taken largely before the rally “and we don’t have a clear picture of what impact that might“ have."
hmmmmm
hmmmm
good find
"we don't have a clear picture of what impact that (the rally) might have".
well, that's pretty significant
That means if Saccone wins by 1,
Then Trumps rally boosted him up by 8
@Den @FLanon @🎃Boo-ton🎃 That rally had wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyy more than 372 people
also, whoa
look
are those proper proportions @Den ?
I think 372 is a pretty small polling sample, isn't it?
Depends
depends on how accurate the sample represents the district
From Nate Silver "It encompasses parts of four counties: Allegheny (home to 43 percent of the district’s voters, based on 2016 presidential results), Westmoreland (33 percent), Washington (22 percent) and Greene (2 percent)."
hmm
BUT the Parts of Allegheny are very different. Like around Mount Lebanon is probably like 70% Dem and parts of Southern Allegheny are probably 70% Republican. So who knows where they took the samples
Fucking Union Voters though
We're definitely going to have to do something about RTW soon
I don't know. It just seems mathematically impossible to me.
I mean the district isn't even very elastic
@Den how realistic does this look for your area
129 Rs and 139 dems? Did they account for that?
It's hard to say especially since Lambs people were stealing Saccones signs. I will say I went all though the district on way to Trumps Ralley and I didn't see near the number of Lamb signs that I thought I would around certain areas like Mount Lebanon
Every other commercial is bashing Lamb but it's that retarded Pelosi's little Lamb one
why the fuck did they make that
the rnc is headed by clowns, I swear
Like I just found out that Saccone wrote 12 books and lived in North Korea. They never even mention Saccone