Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 433676823008641025


2018-04-11 17:06:05 UTC  

@FLanon a projection for November

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/433674111676579846/220_215.GIF

2018-04-11 17:06:07 UTC  

what is

2018-04-11 17:06:12 UTC  

Oh

2018-04-11 17:06:31 UTC  

NOT SO FAST

2018-04-11 17:06:49 UTC  

That's better than a loss of congress, but we'll need at least 230 to enact the agenda.

2018-04-11 17:07:09 UTC  

YOU FORGOT TO PUT THE REPRESENTATIVES FROM THE STATE OF JEFFERSON

2018-04-11 17:07:23 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/433674437355765774/house_majority.GIF

2018-04-11 17:07:59 UTC  

That doesn't seem accurate

2018-04-11 17:08:35 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/433674739257442321/popular_vote.GIF

2018-04-11 17:09:04 UTC  

In any case, we should work to it

2018-04-11 17:09:27 UTC  

This projection is assuming,

2018-04-11 17:09:31 UTC  

The GOP and Trump are in a low point at the moment, so if they still retain the house in these conditions, that's damn good.

2018-04-11 17:09:41 UTC  

Dems win the popular vote by 5 points

2018-04-11 17:10:03 UTC  

so if Dems win by a 5-6 margin, they won't take the house

2018-04-11 17:10:20 UTC  

anything more, than Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi

2018-04-11 17:11:05 UTC  

@FLanon Where do you live again? FL-15?

2018-04-11 17:13:55 UTC  

16

2018-04-11 17:15:42 UTC  

This could be a problem

2018-04-11 17:16:27 UTC  

Trump won FL-15 by 10 points

2018-04-11 17:16:51 UTC  

almost every special election has seen a D shift of at *least* 10 points @FLanon

2018-04-11 17:32:34 UTC  

This is the Dem trying to take Paul Ryan’s seat https://mobile.twitter.com/IronStache

2018-04-11 17:47:30 UTC  

Here's a midterm strategy map: win the states in red and use their influence on surrounding states to win the supermajority.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/433684534907764738/2018-04-11_12-46-00.png

2018-04-11 18:09:52 UTC  

Yes, as it stands, the situation in the special elections are pretty bad

2018-04-11 18:10:00 UTC  

That enthusiasm gap is a bitch atm

2018-04-11 18:19:10 UTC  

Speaker stepping down

2018-04-11 18:19:14 UTC  

Baaad

2018-04-11 18:19:52 UTC  

Odds of keeping majority went from bad to worse >.>

2018-04-11 18:20:32 UTC  

60% chance Dems take the House @zakattack04

2018-04-11 18:21:23 UTC  

lmao @🎃Boo-ton🎃 @FLanon Alan Grayson was my House Rep back when I was 13 years old, still living in Orlando

2018-04-11 18:21:36 UTC  

Alan Grayson's daughter later went to my friends' and cousins' high school

2018-04-11 18:21:56 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I'm feeling 80%

2018-04-11 18:22:03 UTC  

I think this is her

2018-04-11 18:22:06 UTC  

Just because of how history

2018-04-11 18:22:14 UTC  

half Filipino, half Ashkenazi Jewish

2018-04-11 18:22:30 UTC  

The average swing for the 1st midterm is 32 seats for the Minority Party

2018-04-11 18:22:59 UTC  

With healthcare being the top priority of independents

2018-04-11 18:23:06 UTC  

Victory is near impossible

2018-04-11 18:23:26 UTC  

I think Trump will pull enthusiasm through the roof when it's time