Dude you can't compare Presidential elections to special house elections

That's extremely unreliable

You can.

Compare previous house Races.

that's when you compare the candidate, not the President, you dump drumpfster

I say the swing in open seats will be 10 points.

When you compare Trump, it's a 16 point swing

when you compare Trent Franks, it's 22 points

dummy

@Pielover19 trump lost my district but my rep won. You can't compare presidential races to house races

Well my county specifically

Incumbent advantage will be important.

@zakattack04 It's over for Drumpf

We agreed on this earlier, Mash.

The average swing is now 17 points in favor of Democrats

@Pielover19 not for a 20 margin victory when the president lost it by 5

We would compare open seats to the presidential election.

There are to many variables when you compare house special elections to presidential elections

Compare house elections to other house elections

We can still get a rough picture of the midterms through it, though.

then why didn't PA-35 in the State House swing towards Republicans

Why not have a more accurate picture then.

But sure, it gives you some place to start from.

You can't ignore data and hard facts forever

it's clear the momentum is in Democrats' favor

I never said it wasnt

I was just saying don't compare unrelated things

The momentum is totally in favor of Democrats

The trends never end bud, I was the one that was saying that and both FLanon and you mocked me for saying that

The 1st midterm the party in power on average loses seats

Still, lots can happen in the summer and fall.

Hopefully we can have another major legislative accomplishment.

Trump better get that wall

Doesn't look like that'll happen

or I'm sitting this out

Senate will never approve money for that

@FLanon Bredesen is a VERY POPULAR governor in Tennessee. Apparently he won every county in one race. That's why he's currently in the lead

McConnel won't use the nuclear option

McConnel

more like

McCuckel amirite