Message from @Pielover19
Discord ID: 438747083894423572
<:hillaryforamerica:422438036614152203>
CLINTON 2020
@๐Boo-ton๐ wrong, I was just in Montana and they like Trump a lot xP
It's sarcasm, my man.
I know, he's always sarcastic...
๐
IF WE LOSE WE WIN
How desperate can you be
Yeah, I'd say Trump should campaign in WV and MT
They're right though
It's true
it was a 22 point swing
???
Trump won by 21, correct?
Dude you can't compare Presidential elections to special house elections
That's extremely unreliable
You can.
Compare previous house Races.
that's when you compare the candidate, not the President, you dump drumpfster
When you compare Trump, it's a 16 point swing
when you compare Trent Franks, it's 22 points
dummy
@Pielover19 trump lost my district but my rep won. You can't compare presidential races to house races
Well my county specifically
Incumbent advantage will be important.
@zakattack04 It's over for Drumpf
We agreed on this earlier, Mash.
The average swing is now 17 points in favor of Democrats
@Pielover19 not for a 20 margin victory when the president lost it by 5
We would compare open seats to the presidential election.
There are to many variables when you compare house special elections to presidential elections
Compare house elections to other house elections
We can still get a rough picture of the midterms through it, though.
then why didn't PA-35 in the State House swing towards Republicans
Why not have a more accurate picture then.
But sure, it gives you some place to start from.
You can't ignore data and hard facts forever
it's clear the momentum is in Democrats' favor
I never said it wasnt