And it's not something we can really parade as a victory because in that case, that was a one off.

And it's legitimate

Nah, it was still in line with the national average so far.

17 points.

2 points?

Arizona

You said Arizona

The scandal effect.

The GOP did better than Trump in the 6th district

Anyways, this korea situation is something to keep an eye on, I'm telling you, that's the way to the moderates, the only way.

Look my point is maybe we should consider compromising on some issues until we can make them more popular.

The GOP has "compromised" for the last 60 fucking years, no more.

And affluent suburban districts like the 6th are the ones that the Democrats are trying to flip in the midterms

You can't keep control of congress supporting unpopular positions

Compromise only alienates the core.

The core isn't why you win

It's the swing voters

This geopolitical situation is only a plus.

Yes it is!

The Independents

The core will still vote Republican most of the time.

We could win 2018 easily if we got enough of the core vote

it's the independents that change sides

It's turnout

idaho is probably looking to expand Medicaid so the GOP is sorta going to left on Healthcare in some places

Well our turnout is going to be lower in the current situation.

If we cuck and cuck and cuck, they won't turnout!

Just because of history

@Walter Johnson Yeah, maybe we need to.

"muh history"

fuck off

That isn't why Trump won

@FLanon 2002 is literally the only election in which the party in power gained seats during the midterms bud./

In recent history

So yes

Muh history is relevant here

and 1998

This whole election pivots on whether Trump's base votes for Republicans

@Walter Johnson response against Newt

You can't just look at things at face value without looking at the dynamics

the swing in AZ-08 is because

>Debbie, minor scandal or not, is still kinda mediocre as a candidate. She's not a very charismatic speaker. She has the airheaded fat unattractive mom look. She seems like the person who would not notice if the kids she was chaperoning on a field trip got kidnapped

>she had a minor campaign finance scandal

>Hiral is a Doctor, somewhat MILFy, stressed healthcare in a district full of old people (amplified by her Doctor background). Spent quite a bit. Apparently didn't even say that she was a Democrat in her campaign signs

>the reason there was a special election in the first place was because Trent Franks had a sex scandal

>general midterm effect of party not in power being more desperate