"And while it’s not part of your question, in 2016, I personally expect Mr. Trump to get fewer than 60 million votes. I assume Sec. Clinton wants to get more than the 69.5 million votes than Mr. Obama got in 2008, and I will be watching to see if she gets > 70 million votes."

https://www.quora.com/What-are-Hillary-Clintons-chances-of-winning-in-the-2016-US-Presidential-Election

well that's just silly

November 7, 2017

"Yes.

The narrative this election cycle has operated on a false equivalency narrative. Clinton’s e-mails are somehow the same as Donald Trump’s history of sexual assault. The Clinton foundation is a slush fund in the same way as Donald Trump’s charitable organizations are slush funds. This is the last “real” election because it will likely be the last election where white people make up the majority of voters. It’s pure insanity.

Let’s talk about facts. The Clinton campaign relies on things like data and analytics to guide them while Donald Trump uses his Twitter feed. One’s a pro the other is a wannabe. The truth is that this would not be a close election were it not for the utterly ridiculous “re-investigation” of Clinton’s e-mail server. Clinton has had a healthy lead throughout this race. Take a look at the polling from 538:"

"But, seriously, I don’t know any pollster who thinks either Michigan, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Colorado or New Mexico are going to Trump. Those are going to be in the Democratic column. And in the same breath I don’t know anyone who thinks there’s a scenario where Hillary wins Georgia, Iowa, Arizona or Maine. To me, it seems unlikely that Hillary will win Ohio as well, but because Virginia and Nevada are likely to go her way that doesn’t matter. Here’s where the race actually is if you call the race as the polls tell you to call it."

good old nostalgia

"Trump’s only chance in this election was to turn some blue states red and if he wins Ohio, which he could, then he will have done more than I thought he could, but it still won’t be enough to win the election. Building a firewall is how you win elections. That’s what worked for Obama in ’08 and ’12 and it’s what will work yet again for Clinton in 2016. You can argue that the polls are wrong (which Trump supporters like to do) or simply shout: “the election is rigged.” Neither of these things changes the facts however, which is ironic because it is the facts that Mr. Trump has been so averse to acknowledging that have been the real story of this election. You couldn’t fact check a Trump stump speech because so little of what he said was actually true. This was, in many ways, the post-truth election."

"Now, these models are based on a conservative prediction of how the election could go. Clinton could have a much better night than anticipated by any of the forecasters and that would make sense since so many pollsters are playing it very close to the vest after repeatedly counting Mr. Trump out during the primary season. The reality is this however: Latinos are very motivated this election season and that is very good news for Hillary Clinton. What we’re seeing from early voting is that turnout is going to be strong among minorities and if that’s the case on Election Day we’ll be looking at a much different electoral map on Election Night; one where frankly we may not need to wait until 11pm EDT for the election to be called."

Yeah I'm just going to go to work on what we have ahead

Funny how these people counted on the hispanic vote when Trump ended up overperforming with them compared to both Romney and McCain

let me dump the rest in <#409511459844784138>

>If she does these 11 things, she definetly can.

CUCKED

As trump said

2012 was an election we should've won

But Romney didn't fight back."

@Nuke you're a pretty good analyst. What do you think Romney should have done to beat Obama

It's obvious

Win over White People by appealing to the anger and frustrations of Whites due to a changing cultural landscape

Like Trump did

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 that strategy won't work in 10 years

Based former Obama staffer

@FLanon

Nelson's 2012 performance compared to Scott's 2014 performance

Scott wasn't very popular in 2014.

The only real reason he has a chance of winning is because he handled Hurricane Irma (?) amazingly well.

That placed him as a popular figure.

in 2012, Nelson was helped by Obama being at the top of the ballot

hell, Nelson got 300,000 more votes than Obama

so pretty much all the people who voted for Obama, were willing to vote for him

which makes sense

who else wuld they vote for? The Green Party candidate ?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Florida,_2012

there wasn't even a Green Party candidate

there were independents who got 126,000 and 82,000

anyway, 2006 was in the midst of the worst days of the Bush era, so Nelson had an easy environment

2012 was Obama's easy re-election vs Romney

2018 will be Nelson's hardest year since 2000

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 so what's your take on the fact immigration doesn't even reach the 50% of voters as very important

According to what Walter posted in Data

It's well up in the 40s, so there's that

and who's cares what the majority thinks, this is not mob rule