Message from @Pielover19
Discord ID: 445998267721842689
2014 PA Dem Primary
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I hope you know that turnout changes over time
Yes
And Democratic Turnout has surpassed Republican Turnout so far
In Alabama, 97% of Clinton voters showed up to vote compared to 48% of Trump voters
Okay 👌
5 Ratings changes from Inside Elections, all toward Democrats:
MI11: Tilt R ➡️ Tossup
NJ02: Tossup ➡️ Tilt D
NJ11: Tossup ➡️ Tilt D
NC09: Likely R ➡️ Tilt R
OH12: special Likely R ➡️ Tilt R
That's bullcrap.
The polling, approval rating, news, and primary results show Republicans gaining, yet they push some districts to the left.
That's why we trust the Red Storm Crystal Ball instead...
>trusting a new, partisan forecast created by you
yea, no
Better than the rest.
And I would it's only slightly partisan.
Take my map and give me a bad projection there.
It's actually perfect.
My projection so far,
GOP lose these seats for sure: 7 (AZ-02, CA-49, FL-27, NJ-02, PA-05, PA-06, PA-07)
I put all of those in the Democratic column.
@Pielover19 Special election in your state BTW
Really?
yes
For what position?
And is it today?
oops nvm, that's for the 21st
There are elections today.
Special election to fill the seat of the Democratic senate minority leader, and another special election to fill the seat of a Republican convicted of mail fraud.
The senate one is in a majority black district, so we don't really have a chance to pick it up. The house seat is pretty close to me, but I'm not in the district. It's right near Huntsville.
Could be a Dem pickup.
It's going blue
Maybe.
We have to watch this election tonight, though.
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 you're right
Pielover is going to get BTFO'd by the true pollsters
@zakattack04 Trust the experts
This would be a dream... I only wish
it'd be pretty nice
but I doubt it'll pass