Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 445983814582403097


2018-05-15 05:54:27 UTC  

Never interrupt your enemy when they are making a mistake - Napoleon Bonaparte

2018-05-15 06:01:59 UTC  

Very true

2018-05-15 11:51:51 UTC  

As of May 25th, Big Brother Discord will be changing their privacy policy around information we give to them. Any messages and images you send will be considered information you provide to them so they can keep it and record it legally

2018-05-15 11:51:53 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/445916229459509248/image.png

2018-05-15 13:32:41 UTC  

this is why I always say

2018-05-15 13:33:17 UTC  

never link anything to your real personal contacts
don't say anything illegal

2018-05-15 14:58:58 UTC  

Pennsylvania
Races to watch: 1st, 5th, 7th, 10th and 14th congressional districts; governor
Polls close: 8 p.m. Eastern

2018-05-15 14:59:06 UTC  

Nebraska
Races to watch: 2nd Congressional District
Polls close: 9 p.m. Eastern

2018-05-15 14:59:13 UTC  

Idaho
Races to watch: governor
Polls close: 10 p.m. Eastern in the southern half of the state, 11 p.m. Eastern in the north

2018-05-15 14:59:24 UTC  

Oregon
Races to watch: governor
Ballots due: 10 p.m. Eastern in part of Malheur County, 11 p.m. Eastern everywhere else

2018-05-15 15:18:53 UTC  

#BREAKING Projection By @Benchmarkpol:
Democrats To Take Control Of The House Of Representative In 2018: https://t.co/C2FIY5h4AL

2018-05-15 15:25:56 UTC  

Trump Job Approval:
Approve 47%
Disapprove 52%

@Rasmussen_Poll 5/10-14
https://t.co/YFPdGGPjZ2

2018-05-15 15:46:38 UTC  
2018-05-15 15:46:56 UTC  

^

2018-05-15 15:49:44 UTC  

Gotta hold PA gentlemen

2018-05-15 16:18:07 UTC  

2014 PA Dem Primary

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/445983226742308864/2014_dem_primary.png

2018-05-15 16:19:22 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I hope you know that turnout changes over time

2018-05-15 16:19:53 UTC  

Yes

2018-05-15 16:20:05 UTC  

And Democratic Turnout has surpassed Republican Turnout so far

2018-05-15 16:20:27 UTC  

In Alabama, 97% of Clinton voters showed up to vote compared to 48% of Trump voters

2018-05-15 16:20:47 UTC  

Okay 👌

2018-05-15 16:34:43 UTC  
2018-05-15 16:34:55 UTC  

5 Ratings changes from Inside Elections, all toward Democrats:

MI11: Tilt R ➡️ Tossup
NJ02: Tossup ➡️ Tilt D
NJ11: Tossup ➡️ Tilt D
NC09: Likely R ➡️ Tilt R
OH12: special Likely R ➡️ Tilt R

2018-05-15 17:08:21 UTC  

That's bullcrap.

2018-05-15 17:08:52 UTC  

The polling, approval rating, news, and primary results show Republicans gaining, yet they push some districts to the left.

2018-05-15 17:09:11 UTC  

That's why we trust the Red Storm Crystal Ball instead...

2018-05-15 17:11:50 UTC  

>trusting a new, partisan forecast created by you

2018-05-15 17:11:52 UTC  

yea, no

2018-05-15 17:14:10 UTC  

Better than the rest.

2018-05-15 17:14:43 UTC  

And I would it's only slightly partisan.

2018-05-15 17:15:00 UTC  

Take my map and give me a bad projection there.

2018-05-15 17:15:44 UTC  

It's actually perfect.

2018-05-15 17:16:01 UTC  

My projection so far,

2018-05-15 17:16:12 UTC  

GOP lose these seats for sure: 7 (AZ-02, CA-49, FL-27, NJ-02, PA-05, PA-06, PA-07)

2018-05-15 17:17:22 UTC  

I put all of those in the Democratic column.

2018-05-15 17:17:53 UTC  

Barring a great jungle primary result in CA-49, we'll lose all of them.

2018-05-15 17:21:02 UTC  

@Pielover19 Special election in your state BTW

2018-05-15 17:21:09 UTC  

Really?

2018-05-15 17:21:12 UTC  

yes

2018-05-15 17:21:14 UTC  

For what position?