Message from @Pielover19
Discord ID: 445997333923102730
Oregon
Races to watch: governor
Ballots due: 10 p.m. Eastern in part of Malheur County, 11 p.m. Eastern everywhere else
#BREAKING Projection By @Benchmarkpol:
Democrats To Take Control Of The House Of Representative In 2018: https://t.co/C2FIY5h4AL
Trump Job Approval:
Approve 47%
Disapprove 52%
@Rasmussen_Poll 5/10-14
https://t.co/YFPdGGPjZ2
^
Gotta hold PA gentlemen
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I hope you know that turnout changes over time
Yes
And Democratic Turnout has surpassed Republican Turnout so far
In Alabama, 97% of Clinton voters showed up to vote compared to 48% of Trump voters
Okay 👌
5 Ratings changes from Inside Elections, all toward Democrats:
MI11: Tilt R ➡️ Tossup
NJ02: Tossup ➡️ Tilt D
NJ11: Tossup ➡️ Tilt D
NC09: Likely R ➡️ Tilt R
OH12: special Likely R ➡️ Tilt R
That's bullcrap.
The polling, approval rating, news, and primary results show Republicans gaining, yet they push some districts to the left.
That's why we trust the Red Storm Crystal Ball instead...
>trusting a new, partisan forecast created by you
yea, no
And I would it's only slightly partisan.
Take my map and give me a bad projection there.
It's actually perfect.
My projection so far,
GOP lose these seats for sure: 7 (AZ-02, CA-49, FL-27, NJ-02, PA-05, PA-06, PA-07)
I put all of those in the Democratic column.
Barring a great jungle primary result in CA-49, we'll lose all of them.
@Pielover19 Special election in your state BTW
Really?
yes
For what position?
And is it today?
oops nvm, that's for the 21st
There are elections today.
Special election to fill the seat of the Democratic senate minority leader, and another special election to fill the seat of a Republican convicted of mail fraud.
The senate one is in a majority black district, so we don't really have a chance to pick it up. The house seat is pretty close to me, but I'm not in the district. It's right near Huntsville.
Could be a Dem pickup.
Maybe.
We have to watch this election tonight, though.