Message from @zakattack04

Discord ID: 446021838833975316


2018-05-15 18:47:32 UTC  

Well to close this discussion

2018-05-15 18:47:36 UTC  

No way MN is going red

2018-05-15 18:47:42 UTC  

CO isn't either

2018-05-15 18:47:47 UTC  

There are a couple of factors you should keep in mind for re-election in 2020: Incumbency, popularity and who's running against him

2018-05-15 18:48:00 UTC  

anyways, wouldn't ever say that a district is ever certain to go one way or another

2018-05-15 18:48:20 UTC  

No way Minnesota is going red?

2018-05-15 18:48:21 UTC  

How

2018-05-15 18:48:27 UTC  

Twin cities

2018-05-15 18:48:29 UTC  

Somalis

2018-05-15 18:48:55 UTC  

if Trump manages to pull himself up and get a mandate in congress, 2020 will be a landslide

2018-05-15 18:48:57 UTC  

He still only lost that by 1.5%

2018-05-15 18:49:26 UTC  

if he doesn't, then it gets pretty competitive

2018-05-15 18:49:42 UTC  

So many vulnerable states

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/446021375380029462/margin_map.png

2018-05-15 18:50:16 UTC  

but anyways, better margins would be immense for his campaign promises

2018-05-15 18:50:21 UTC  

I think we can win Minnesota

2018-05-15 18:50:40 UTC  

I am not sure about Colorado though

2018-05-15 18:50:40 UTC  

He also only won MI by .1%

2018-05-15 18:50:58 UTC  

PA by <1% and same with FL

2018-05-15 18:51:02 UTC  

And WI too

2018-05-15 18:51:06 UTC  

He's not taking MN

2018-05-15 18:51:33 UTC  

All the trends are against him and the democrats are going to run a good candidate

2018-05-15 18:51:33 UTC  

If he manages to get better congressional margins, then he'll take it easily

2018-05-15 18:51:41 UTC  

Nope

2018-05-15 18:51:42 UTC  

It'll be a very productive Congress

2018-05-15 18:51:53 UTC  

Won't matter, I know for sure.

2018-05-15 18:51:56 UTC  

And a whole lot of campaign promises would get through

2018-05-15 18:51:56 UTC  

Solid 96%

2018-05-15 18:52:01 UTC  

"won't matter"

2018-05-15 18:52:03 UTC  

yep

2018-05-15 18:52:07 UTC  

what do you mean exactly

2018-05-15 18:52:37 UTC  

I mean that it won't matter, the biggest probability is MN and CO are staying blue

2018-05-15 18:52:48 UTC  

PA and WI are going blue also in 2020

2018-05-15 18:52:55 UTC  

The question is

2018-05-15 18:53:00 UTC  

Who will run against Trump

2018-05-15 18:53:05 UTC  

Bernie

2018-05-15 18:53:06 UTC  

If Trump gets congress much more on his side, then the entire base would come back to vote for him in 2020

2018-05-15 18:53:09 UTC  

I think that's the biggest factor for 2020

2018-05-15 18:53:24 UTC  

And he could potentially swing people to vote for him

2018-05-15 18:53:28 UTC  

Honesty the democrats can run anyone and do well

2018-05-15 18:53:33 UTC  

Clinton was so bad

2018-05-15 18:53:33 UTC  

No