Message from @zakattack04

Discord ID: 446020871824343061


2018-05-15 18:46:13 UTC  

The guy in power right now is pretty popular

2018-05-15 18:46:24 UTC  

I don't see a massive swing against him

2018-05-15 18:46:31 UTC  

Remember, Obama lost millions of voters from 2008 to 2012

2018-05-15 18:46:35 UTC  

yes

2018-05-15 18:46:36 UTC  

and won

2018-05-15 18:46:39 UTC  

and he was moderately popular

2018-05-15 18:46:43 UTC  

Yeah cause he was a terrible president too

2018-05-15 18:46:48 UTC  

And still won

2018-05-15 18:46:49 UTC  

but it was closer than it was last time

2018-05-15 18:46:59 UTC  

okay

2018-05-15 18:46:59 UTC  

he lost NC and IN

2018-05-15 18:47:04 UTC  

and almost lost other states

2018-05-15 18:47:05 UTC  

but on the same token, what about george bush

2018-05-15 18:47:09 UTC  

And McCain was awful

2018-05-15 18:47:11 UTC  

9/11

2018-05-15 18:47:14 UTC  

Lol

2018-05-15 18:47:14 UTC  

I am talking about NJ 02

2018-05-15 18:47:16 UTC  

Lol

2018-05-15 18:47:32 UTC  

Well to close this discussion

2018-05-15 18:47:36 UTC  

No way MN is going red

2018-05-15 18:47:42 UTC  

CO isn't either

2018-05-15 18:47:47 UTC  

There are a couple of factors you should keep in mind for re-election in 2020: Incumbency, popularity and who's running against him

2018-05-15 18:48:00 UTC  

anyways, wouldn't ever say that a district is ever certain to go one way or another

2018-05-15 18:48:20 UTC  

No way Minnesota is going red?

2018-05-15 18:48:21 UTC  

How

2018-05-15 18:48:27 UTC  

Twin cities

2018-05-15 18:48:29 UTC  

Somalis

2018-05-15 18:48:55 UTC  

if Trump manages to pull himself up and get a mandate in congress, 2020 will be a landslide

2018-05-15 18:48:57 UTC  

He still only lost that by 1.5%

2018-05-15 18:49:26 UTC  

if he doesn't, then it gets pretty competitive

2018-05-15 18:49:42 UTC  

So many vulnerable states

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/446021375380029462/margin_map.png

2018-05-15 18:50:16 UTC  

but anyways, better margins would be immense for his campaign promises

2018-05-15 18:50:21 UTC  

I think we can win Minnesota

2018-05-15 18:50:40 UTC  

I am not sure about Colorado though

2018-05-15 18:50:40 UTC  

He also only won MI by .1%

2018-05-15 18:50:58 UTC  

PA by <1% and same with FL

2018-05-15 18:51:02 UTC  

And WI too

2018-05-15 18:51:06 UTC  

He's not taking MN

2018-05-15 18:51:33 UTC  

All the trends are against him and the democrats are going to run a good candidate

2018-05-15 18:51:33 UTC  

If he manages to get better congressional margins, then he'll take it easily

2018-05-15 18:51:41 UTC  

Nope