No one doesn’t know what’s going to happen between now and November

So the NFL is fining players for kneeling during the anthem now

🆙 | **GermanEastAfrica leveled up!**

Some cringe for you

West Virginia Senate GE: Manchin (D) 47% (+7) Morrisey (R) 40% Hollen (L) 4%

For Georgia in 2014, the dem was unopposed which might have something to do with it, not as much of a reason to go out to the polls. Still a bad thing though, I'd have to agree.

also, looks like nuke has a new pfp huh

I think 2022 is too far out to make any determinate calls, depending on how 2018 and 2020 go, there could be a number of ways it could turn out. If the environment is good with a productive congress and we've built up a very sturdy majority in the Senate, it will be manageable. It is a pretty bad map for us generally though, and probably devastating if we had that map this year.

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 7 points lol

we gotta take em as they come

@Nuke

@FLanon still not sure where BM got that poll that showed McGrath 15 points ahead of Barr

yeah I found it

it was before, not after the primary yesterday

anyway, @Nuke

it was commissioned by the DCCC, so, grain of salt there

500 people asked by landline

about 2022

if Chuck Schumer retires and is replaced by a Roy Moore tier Dem, I can see us taking a seat in New York with a Scott Brown tier R in 2022

same with California and Illinois and Vermont and Connecticut and Maryland

Nevada and New Hampshire and Colorado should be competitive even without a Roy Moore tier Dem

@Pielover19 assuming Trump is POTUS in 2022, it'll be similar to 2018, which means that the environment favors the D's. However, like 2018, that doesn't guarantee a D victory in the same way that a D victory wasn't guaranteed in 2022

*in the same way a D victory wasn't guaranteed in 2002

I might not be so sure it's similar to 2018 depending on some circumstances

>BM literally spending most of xir energy, time, and focus on posting Democrat propaganda

@FLanon something tells me that Trump in his 2nd term would not compromise as much as in his 1st term

If we were to get a mandate congressionally this year followed by a victory in 2020, 2022's environment may be more favorable to Rs, however considering the map, it'll take a lot to get a net gain in the senate.

in the same way that Obama in his 2nd term was less conciliatory in comparison to his first term

also...2022 will be around the time people my age could be winning House seats, come to think of it

the minimum age for the House is 25, but the youngest one right now is Elise Stefanik at 33 (actually, I think Conor Lamb might be a few months younger)

I recall in 2008 a Republican named Aaron Schock won at age 27

Mine would have to be like 2024 or 2026 I think

at the earliest because I do have to start early in this day and age unlike certain people

I think the requirement for state legislature isn't as high

btw, I highly recommend volunteering with the Republican Party in your area this year though

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/f7/2020_Senate_election_map.png

also, speaking of 2022, let's talk about 2020

if the environment is favorable to a Trump re-election....

Ousting Doug Jones in Alabama seems effortless

taking that D seat in New Hampshire is not as easy, but definitely doable. Same thing with the seat in Michigan.

Minnesota should be about as hard as Michigan. Virginia could be around the same level.

in the same way that Democrats in 2012 generally benefited from having Obama at the top of the ballot, Republicans in 2020 will benefit from having Trump at the top of the ballot