Message from @ThatRightWingFish

Discord ID: 449649459287031818


2018-05-25 19:01:15 UTC  

@ThatRightWingFish the vast majority of polls said that is was impossible for trump to carry PA WI and MI

2018-05-25 19:01:17 UTC  

let's pretend it's October, 2016

2018-05-25 19:01:38 UTC  

Ok

2018-05-25 19:02:04 UTC  

Why the hell is Trump campaigning in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania? A republican hasn't won there since 1992, the trends show Democrats winning them for decades.

2018-05-25 19:03:55 UTC  

As I said, it's because of the positions Trump ran on which allowed him to win there. The trend argument upholds itself, because the trend was a generic republican can't win those states because of the positions of the party.

2018-05-25 19:04:08 UTC  

It's not the trend of the result, it's the all the context involved

2018-05-25 19:04:08 UTC  

but Republicans don't win there

2018-05-25 19:04:12 UTC  

That's not true

2018-05-25 19:04:13 UTC  

exactly

2018-05-25 19:04:17 UTC  

PA state house is republican

2018-05-25 19:04:24 UTC  

so is MN

2018-05-25 19:04:27 UTC  

Eh

2018-05-25 19:04:30 UTC  

Those are all RINOs

2018-05-25 19:04:38 UTC  

If you actually look their their state reps

2018-05-25 19:04:48 UTC  

They're really not anywhere near the republican you want them to be

2018-05-25 19:04:50 UTC  

well it's still majority R isn't it

2018-05-25 19:04:56 UTC  

Also their state senate is democrat

2018-05-25 19:05:09 UTC  

Lol you're pussy footing with that

2018-05-25 19:05:50 UTC  

That argument would mean we Flake and McCain stand for good right wit policy because they have an (R) next to their name

2018-05-25 19:06:07 UTC  

it's about our opportunity

2018-05-25 19:06:25 UTC  

Who said they were perfect?

2018-05-25 19:06:29 UTC  

No one

2018-05-25 19:06:49 UTC  

What we possibly could win. I'm not saying MN is a red state, but it is absolutely not impossible to win MN or NJ.

2018-05-25 19:07:00 UTC  

My point is, the trend argument is well substantiated because historical evidence is always more reliable than modern polls

2018-05-25 19:07:05 UTC  

2018 is our beg

2018-05-25 19:07:07 UTC  

Bet*

2018-05-25 19:07:11 UTC  

for what

2018-05-25 19:07:11 UTC  

It's staying blue

2018-05-25 19:07:15 UTC  

MN?

2018-05-25 19:07:18 UTC  

Yeah

2018-05-25 19:07:20 UTC  

That depends on some things.

2018-05-25 19:07:26 UTC  

and it's not 2018

2018-05-25 19:07:27 UTC  

it's 2020

2018-05-25 19:07:28 UTC  

It doesn't matter to me see

2018-05-25 19:07:31 UTC  

XP I always know

2018-05-25 19:07:39 UTC  

Never bet on the trend to end

2018-05-25 19:07:48 UTC  

if we get a damn good result this year, I'll absolutely take the bet

2018-05-25 19:08:00 UTC  

but McConnell getting primaried is still on

2018-05-25 19:08:05 UTC  

Nope

2018-05-25 19:08:07 UTC  

They're both on

2018-05-25 19:08:16 UTC  

You can't pussy out because you're afraid of losing