Message from @[Lex]

Discord ID: 464218374772228116


2018-07-04 23:51:37 UTC  

Predictit is very pro-blue wave in its odds it seems.

2018-07-04 23:52:49 UTC  

leftists are the usual buyers, you can tell from the forums

2018-07-04 23:53:25 UTC  

@[Lex]

I've been on PredictIt since May last year. It's full of leftists betting on their feels while still worshipping Nate Silver and circlejerking over how they think Drumpf is awful

2018-07-04 23:53:40 UTC  

Who’s Nate Silver?

2018-07-04 23:53:53 UTC  

he's the guy behind 538

2018-07-04 23:53:59 UTC  

in the West Virginia primary they were circlejerking over how Blankenship was going to make "rural retards who can't read" vote for him and give Manchin the election

2018-07-04 23:54:18 UTC  

He's a Jew who mispredicted the 2016 election and has lost a great deal of credibility since.

2018-07-04 23:55:04 UTC  

look out for this one commenter named 'Ballard'

he is a gay guy with an obsession over the alt-right. Apparently he thinks that if he wasn't gay, he'd have become an alt-righter, which is why he speaks out so much about them and how evil they are

2018-07-04 23:55:38 UTC  

his posts are entertaining because he goes into excruciating psychological detail sometimes, and has an ultra-pretentious writing style

2018-07-04 23:55:50 UTC  

I hope to the Lord there's a red wave so they lose the thousands of dollars they've gambled.

2018-07-04 23:55:56 UTC  

they also love this blog: https://politicalkiwi.wordpress.com/

2018-07-04 23:56:07 UTC  

yeah, if the Red Storm does happen, I'm definitely going to check out PredictIt

2018-07-04 23:56:14 UTC  

it was fun to seem them disappointed over Ossoff losing

2018-07-04 23:56:33 UTC  

What were the predictit numbers over that Georgian election?

2018-07-04 23:56:45 UTC  

sadly they got their fair of circlejerks over the Virginia Gubernatorial election, the Alabama Senatorial election, and PA-18

2018-07-04 23:56:49 UTC  

You can actually definitely tell that the stats in Nate Silver's gerrymandering atlas do not match his own statistics or even reality at this point.

2018-07-04 23:57:01 UTC  

@[Lex] IIRC, it was 80% Ossoff, 20% Handel on election day in the morning

2018-07-04 23:57:24 UTC  

This seems to be an interesting website. It’ll be funny to see leftists tears mixed in with thousands of lost dollars

2018-07-04 23:57:58 UTC  

Their own bias will govern their gambling decisions.

2018-07-04 23:58:01 UTC  

There's definitely a lot of potential for profit

2018-07-04 23:58:05 UTC  

A great way to put cash in red pockets.

2018-07-04 23:58:12 UTC  

🤑

2018-07-04 23:58:14 UTC  

There's a lot of severely undervalued bets on there

2018-07-04 23:58:15 UTC  

Libertarian intensifies

2018-07-04 23:58:29 UTC  

When you hit 18 you can gamble on PredictIt

2018-07-04 23:58:34 UTC  

Unlike actual casinos

2018-07-04 23:58:38 UTC  

There's a lower age limit.

2018-07-04 23:58:40 UTC  

I'm not a gambler but it seems like the best form of gambling to bet against unjustified liberal optimism.

2018-07-04 23:58:41 UTC  

Hi not a gambler but it seems like the best form of gambling to bet against unjustified liberal optimism., I'm Dad!

2018-07-04 23:58:48 UTC  

Yep.

2018-07-04 23:59:00 UTC  

We can amass a fortune and then become right wing Soroses

2018-07-04 23:59:08 UTC  

they're more like "ReactToIt"

there are HUGE fluctuations when a new poll comes out

2018-07-04 23:59:16 UTC  

Dang, I should've put some money into Georgia.

2018-07-04 23:59:22 UTC  

People lost incredible amounts of money in the US election.

2018-07-04 23:59:25 UTC  

Tbh I wanna just get a new PayPal card and invest in this

2018-07-04 23:59:31 UTC  

Hindsight is 20/20 when it comes to elections

2018-07-04 23:59:41 UTC  

If Button was so sure that Trump would've won, he should've betted on it.

2018-07-04 23:59:42 UTC  

I guess even the blue wave isn’t even certain of its strength

2018-07-05 00:00:00 UTC  

and HUGE fluctuations on each election night depending on the trend at some instant in time. For instance, for Alabama, there was a large swing towards Moore because he was leading over Jones by quite a bit

and for PA-18, there was a large swing towards Saccone when he was leading by a bit

2018-07-05 00:00:01 UTC  

Remember that guys? When he said that he wasn't surprised by the Trump victory?