Message from @Deleted User
Discord ID: 464217910768828418
With Wilson's year, America wasn't as polarized, oddly--not many comparable cases.
Anything to punctuate the embarrassment of Trump's victory.
The most comparable case is when Lincoln lost Kentucky.
Or when Polk lost Tennessee _and_ North Carolina
fixed
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dDTBnsqxZ3k
while we all hate LBJ, I can't help but admire just how effective that son of a bitch was
Predictit is very pro-blue wave in its odds it seems.
leftists are the usual buyers, you can tell from the forums
@[Lex]
I've been on PredictIt since May last year. It's full of leftists betting on their feels while still worshipping Nate Silver and circlejerking over how they think Drumpf is awful
Who’s Nate Silver?
he's the guy behind 538
in the West Virginia primary they were circlejerking over how Blankenship was going to make "rural retards who can't read" vote for him and give Manchin the election
He's a Jew who mispredicted the 2016 election and has lost a great deal of credibility since.
look out for this one commenter named 'Ballard'
he is a gay guy with an obsession over the alt-right. Apparently he thinks that if he wasn't gay, he'd have become an alt-righter, which is why he speaks out so much about them and how evil they are
his posts are entertaining because he goes into excruciating psychological detail sometimes, and has an ultra-pretentious writing style
I hope to the Lord there's a red wave so they lose the thousands of dollars they've gambled.
they also love this blog: https://politicalkiwi.wordpress.com/
yeah, if the Red Storm does happen, I'm definitely going to check out PredictIt
What were the predictit numbers over that Georgian election?
sadly they got their fair of circlejerks over the Virginia Gubernatorial election, the Alabama Senatorial election, and PA-18
You can actually definitely tell that the stats in Nate Silver's gerrymandering atlas do not match his own statistics or even reality at this point.
@[Lex] IIRC, it was 80% Ossoff, 20% Handel on election day in the morning
This seems to be an interesting website. It’ll be funny to see leftists tears mixed in with thousands of lost dollars
Their own bias will govern their gambling decisions.
There's definitely a lot of potential for profit
A great way to put cash in red pockets.
🤑
There's a lot of severely undervalued bets on there
Libertarian intensifies
When you hit 18 you can gamble on PredictIt
Unlike actual casinos
There's a lower age limit.
I'm not a gambler but it seems like the best form of gambling to bet against unjustified liberal optimism.
Hi not a gambler but it seems like the best form of gambling to bet against unjustified liberal optimism., I'm Dad!
https://www.predictit.org/Contract/7266/Will-Heidi-Heitkamp-be-re-elected-to-the-US-Senate-in-North-Dakota-in-2018#data
not too long ago they thought Heitkamp was the likely victor
Yep.
We can amass a fortune and then become right wing Soroses
they're more like "ReactToIt"
there are HUGE fluctuations when a new poll comes out