Message from @Deleted User
Discord ID: 468211736671944705
ok, let me tally the numbers so far
ok so Warren has 492 delegates after Super Tuesday, and is the frontrunner by that point. Let me do more math
ok, so after all those states, the final count for warren is 1224 delegates
now..." An extra 716 unpledged delegates (712 votes) or "superdelegates", including party leaders and elected officials, were appointed by the party leadership independently of the primaries' electoral process."
I'm not sure how many of those Warren would get
New York: 120 delegates
Connecticut: 29 delegates
Delaware: 11 delegates
Maryland: 39 delegates
Pennsylvania: 95 delegates
Rhode Island: 15 delegates
Indiana: 47 delegates
Guam: 5 delegates
West Virginia: 20 delegates
Kentucky:30 delegates
Oregon: 40 delegates
so after all that, Warren is at 1675. If you add the 716 superdelegates on top of that, she's over the edge. Maybe they support her to avoid another 2016
Wew
Virgin Islands: 1 delegate
Puerto Rico: 27 delegates
California: 218 delegates
Montana: 13 delegates
New Jersey: 51 delegates
New Mexico: 20 delegates
North Dakota: 15 delegates
South Dakota: 12 delegates
Washington DC: 0 delegates
so...the total Pledged Delegates for Warren would be around 2032, which is shy of the 2,382 delegate votes needed to win by 350. It's possible that enough superdelegates would support her though
I think it boils down to the candidates who aren't Warren splitting the vote amongst themselves
Remember that they're going to reduce the amount of Superdelegates from 2016
@Walter Johnson really? interesting
well, that could mean Warren wins even more pledged delegates then
my main argument is: How would voters distinguish between Corey Booker, Kamala Harris, Julian Castro, and Kirsten Gillibrand?
their race and gender
they all seem to be more or less clones of each other, whose only differences are along ethnic and gender lines
yeah, exactly
Kamala Harris views isn't that different Warren's though
she's more along the lines of a corporate Democrat like Hillary right? I might be wrong
yeah
that's the thing
Not really
She's like Warren
Yeah, Harris is known for attempting to prosecute Project Veritas Action I'm pretty sure.
According to Warren, she's not going to run in 2020 but that could change.
I haven't even listened to Harris speak
what are her public speaking skills like
@[Lex] yeah, so if you were to remove Warren, Harris seems to be the frontrunner
She's more on the left than that picture makes it seem
ok, so if you boost Harris' numbers in all the states I gave to Warren, and if you boost them even further in the states I gave to Harris, then I think Harris takes it
One's liberalism or conservatism should not solely be examined based on how MANY issues they're conservative or liberal on but how polarised the issues are on which they take hard stances.
i.e. support of mass deportations netting a higher conservative rating than consistently voting for lower taxes.
So this will limit her score.
her ebonics is a bit too much
Where polarised issues are concerned, she consistently takes hard progressive stances.
