Message from @Deleted User

Discord ID: 468211657529884693


2018-07-16 00:05:49 UTC  

Alaska: 16 delegates

2018-07-16 00:07:46 UTC  

Arizona: 36 delegates
Democrats Abroad: 11 delegates
Hawaii: 19 delegates
Idaho: 20 delegates
Utah: 29 delegates
Washington: 77 delegates
Wisconsin: 55 delegates
Wyoming: 9 delegates

2018-07-16 00:07:50 UTC  

ok, let me tally the numbers so far

2018-07-16 00:11:34 UTC  

ok so Warren has 492 delegates after Super Tuesday, and is the frontrunner by that point. Let me do more math

2018-07-16 00:12:48 UTC  

ok, so after all those states, the final count for warren is 1224 delegates

2018-07-16 00:13:39 UTC  

now..." An extra 716 unpledged delegates (712 votes) or "superdelegates", including party leaders and elected officials, were appointed by the party leadership independently of the primaries' electoral process."

2018-07-16 00:13:46 UTC  

I'm not sure how many of those Warren would get

2018-07-16 00:16:32 UTC  

New York: 120 delegates
Connecticut: 29 delegates
Delaware: 11 delegates
Maryland: 39 delegates
Pennsylvania: 95 delegates
Rhode Island: 15 delegates
Indiana: 47 delegates
Guam: 5 delegates
West Virginia: 20 delegates
Kentucky:30 delegates
Oregon: 40 delegates

2018-07-16 00:18:04 UTC  

so after all that, Warren is at 1675. If you add the 716 superdelegates on top of that, she's over the edge. Maybe they support her to avoid another 2016

2018-07-16 00:18:12 UTC  

Wew

2018-07-16 00:21:22 UTC  

Virgin Islands: 1 delegate
Puerto Rico: 27 delegates
California: 218 delegates
Montana: 13 delegates
New Jersey: 51 delegates
New Mexico: 20 delegates
North Dakota: 15 delegates
South Dakota: 12 delegates
Washington DC: 0 delegates

2018-07-16 00:22:52 UTC  

so...the total Pledged Delegates for Warren would be around 2032, which is shy of the 2,382 delegate votes needed to win by 350. It's possible that enough superdelegates would support her though

2018-07-16 00:23:12 UTC  

I think it boils down to the candidates who aren't Warren splitting the vote amongst themselves

2018-07-16 00:24:15 UTC  

Remember that they're going to reduce the amount of Superdelegates from 2016

2018-07-16 00:24:21 UTC  
2018-07-16 00:24:54 UTC  

@Walter Johnson really? interesting

2018-07-16 00:25:04 UTC  

well, that could mean Warren wins even more pledged delegates then

2018-07-16 00:25:29 UTC  

my main argument is: How would voters distinguish between Corey Booker, Kamala Harris, Julian Castro, and Kirsten Gillibrand?

2018-07-16 00:25:52 UTC  

their race and gender

2018-07-16 00:25:58 UTC  

they all seem to be more or less clones of each other, whose only differences are along ethnic and gender lines

2018-07-16 00:26:02 UTC  

yeah, exactly

2018-07-16 00:26:16 UTC  

now...honestly, I haven't paid too much attention to Kamala Harris

2018-07-16 00:26:26 UTC  

Kamala Harris views isn't that different Warren's though

2018-07-16 00:26:29 UTC  

she's more along the lines of a corporate Democrat like Hillary right? I might be wrong

2018-07-16 00:26:30 UTC  

yeah

2018-07-16 00:26:31 UTC  

that's the thing

2018-07-16 00:26:38 UTC  

Not really

2018-07-16 00:26:43 UTC  

She's like Warren

2018-07-16 00:26:50 UTC  

Yeah, Harris is known for attempting to prosecute Project Veritas Action I'm pretty sure.

2018-07-16 00:26:50 UTC  

According to Warren, she's not going to run in 2020 but that could change.

2018-07-16 00:26:50 UTC  

I haven't even listened to Harris speak

2018-07-16 00:26:58 UTC  

what are her public speaking skills like

2018-07-16 00:27:13 UTC  

@[Lex] yeah, so if you were to remove Warren, Harris seems to be the frontrunner

2018-07-16 00:27:21 UTC  

She's more on the left than that picture makes it seem

2018-07-16 00:28:11 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/468212217268142100/Untitled.png

2018-07-16 00:28:19 UTC  

ok, so if you boost Harris' numbers in all the states I gave to Warren, and if you boost them even further in the states I gave to Harris, then I think Harris takes it

2018-07-16 00:29:06 UTC  

One's liberalism or conservatism should not solely be examined based on how MANY issues they're conservative or liberal on but how polarised the issues are on which they take hard stances.
i.e. support of mass deportations netting a higher conservative rating than consistently voting for lower taxes.

2018-07-16 00:29:18 UTC  

So this will limit her score.