Message from @Deleted User

Discord ID: 470392540349071360


2018-07-22 00:37:22 UTC  

Tuesday is a big day

2018-07-22 00:38:23 UTC  

Tuesday, jog my memory

2018-07-22 00:38:28 UTC  

Sure

2018-07-22 00:38:36 UTC  

Also I'm back in Flahrida

2018-07-22 00:38:43 UTC  

Never been happier to be back home.

2018-07-22 00:39:02 UTC  

after time in filthadelphia and DC, that's not surprising

2018-07-22 00:39:26 UTC  

Yeah I may have fictionalized a bit

2018-07-22 00:39:28 UTC  

Kemp is gonna win on Tuesday - question is, at what margin

2018-07-22 00:39:39 UTC  

I may have been in NYC the whole time

2018-07-22 00:39:45 UTC  

Or in Phoenix

2018-07-22 00:39:50 UTC  

Who knows for sure

2018-07-22 00:39:53 UTC  

who knows

2018-07-22 00:40:00 UTC  

Maybe I never left

2018-07-22 00:40:26 UTC  

But I'll definitely be there for the debate

2018-07-22 00:40:48 UTC  

Can't wait to see Stewart in action, Kaine is a horrible debater as the Pence debate showed

2018-07-22 00:48:15 UTC  

I'm watching it right now

2018-07-22 00:48:15 UTC  

Hi watching it right now, I'm Dad!

2018-07-22 00:48:21 UTC  

48 minutes into the video

2018-07-22 00:49:18 UTC  

Kaine did get a good comeback that generated applause from the audience (likely full of his supporters)

now, Kaine has some major weaknesses though. The biggest one in my opinion is the same one he had in his debate with Pence - his body language, facial expressions, mannerisms

2018-07-22 00:50:12 UTC  

his eyebrows are perpetually raised, and when he talks he has this forced smile that reverts to a rage filled murderous frown whenever he stops talking

2018-07-22 00:52:01 UTC  

Kaine seems to like this talking point "Corey Stewart promised to make his campaign vicious - that means...make it personal, make it nasty, make it up"

(something like that)

2018-07-22 00:52:20 UTC  

at around the 52 minute mark, Kaine has some awkward delivery

2018-07-22 00:52:49 UTC  

it took a 5 second silent pause before he said his son is in the military

2018-07-22 00:53:16 UTC  

it was like "I support the military........................................................................................my son is in the military"

2018-07-22 01:02:27 UTC  

Guys

2018-07-22 01:02:35 UTC  

This is Big

2018-07-22 01:06:08 UTC  

Holy crap

2018-07-22 01:06:55 UTC  

Damn

2018-07-22 01:07:12 UTC  

Is this the end for Chinumpf?

2018-07-22 01:08:07 UTC  

He also called China a Currency Manipulator

2018-07-22 01:22:46 UTC  

Corey Stewart's modus operandi in this debate seems to be to grandstand for the base and attack Kaine as an extremist. Tim Kaine's modus operandi is to try to present himself as a reasonable middle ground politician who is being unfairly attacked in an appalling, vicious manner.

Sadly I'll give it a slight edge to Kaine based on the performance so far because Stewart's base is going to vote for Stewart regardless. Kaine was also speaking to his base, and probably looks more appealing to middle of the road voters. Stewart can still successfully argue that Kaine is extreme, but so far it's convincing enough.

Kaine might not win as many middle of the road voters as I might think though, merely because of his awful body language.

2018-07-22 01:26:59 UTC  

I think the results of this debate are going to be mostly inconclusive

Stewart's base will definitely not vote for Kaine after this. They probably loved what he had to say - the trouble is, they already plan to vote for him anyway. However, I think Stewart's main path to victory is to energize his base tremendously,and there might be quite a few right-wingers in Virginia who don't know much about him yet.

The same thing applies to Kaine. I don't think Kaine's base will go over to Stewart because of this.

the ones in the middle? They might be swayed by Kaine's rhetorical tricks and the applause it generated from the audience, but hopefully his awful body language can stymie that

2018-07-22 01:29:29 UTC  

Well the idea of attacking Kaine as an extremist isn't so much to make them flip but to keep them home

2018-07-22 01:30:55 UTC  

It allows Stewart to energize his base while depressing turnout for Kaine, overall, to make the Karens stay home as they'll see neither candidate as palatable

2018-07-22 01:31:16 UTC  

Kaine has repeated the "make it nasty, make it personal,make it up" phrase so many times that it probably seems stale to the middle of the road voters

2018-07-22 01:32:19 UTC  

the question is, the middle of the road voters have to believe that Kaine is an extremist first. Stewart is his opponent, and has baggage, which can easily make them skeptical of his claims that Kaine is an extremist

2018-07-22 01:33:57 UTC  

It's the strategy, Stewart's part is to make that strategy work

2018-07-22 01:34:53 UTC  

Now I have been worked down to the nub after this last week, I'll look at that debate tomorrow probably. I've heard Stewart's radio ads but I haven't seen him in action yet.

2018-07-22 01:50:08 UTC  

@ThatRightWingFish I cannot truly emphasise how important that is.

2018-07-22 01:50:31 UTC  

The more their deficit increases, the less they can afford to become a workshop of the world.