Message from @FLanon

Discord ID: 484387414807281684


2018-08-29 15:38:56 UTC  

Hopefully the fact he's an open socialist alienates the Cuban voters

2018-08-29 15:39:01 UTC  

we should assume that Gillum will turn out high numbers of minority and youth voters - so, we have to take away as many moderates away from him as possible.

2018-08-29 15:39:23 UTC  

assume the best case scenario for the opposition, and work accordingly

2018-08-29 15:39:47 UTC  

The cuban voters will definitelt not be thrilled by that

2018-08-29 15:40:04 UTC  

now, it could be that Gillum won't turn out as many minorities/youth as he'd like, leading to an even worse defeat than the ones Rick Scott dealt to Alex Sink in 2010 and Charlie Crist in 2014

2018-08-29 15:40:28 UTC  

They're probably not going to be like 30+ for DeSantis considering they don't like Trump as much as they like Rick Scott, but I mean they won't vote for Gillum

2018-08-29 15:40:43 UTC  

yeah about that @FLanon

2018-08-29 15:40:53 UTC  

now, FL always seems to be so close that if DeSantis screws it up, it could lead to Gillum winning. It doesn't even require a Roy Moore tier scenario

2018-08-29 15:41:11 UTC  

Does Desantis have anything going for him besides being "The Trump guy" @FLanon

2018-08-29 15:41:11 UTC  

🆙 | **PunishedAnon leveled up!**

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2018-08-29 15:41:20 UTC  

We might find that a sanders black man will be the perfect problem.
The problem with sanders was he lost the black vote because he didn't pander to minorities, but he stole the white vote for being so socialist.

I think there's a chance this socialist black combo will become a formidable opponent because it takes the best of sanders, and simultaneously improves on it.

2018-08-29 15:41:24 UTC  

He's a veteran, that's his other thing

2018-08-29 15:41:40 UTC  

That's one problem with his campaign is it isn't very state-issue oriented

2018-08-29 15:41:42 UTC  

however, FL has been close for

Hillary vs Trump. Hillary was arguably a centrist. Trump was perceived by some as radical, but many of his policy proposals weren't that extreme
Rick Scott vs Charlie Crist. Two moderates.

2018-08-29 15:41:46 UTC  

Obama vs Romney. Two moderates

2018-08-29 15:41:55 UTC  

Rick Scott vs Alex Sink. Two moderates

2018-08-29 15:42:06 UTC  

^so...we've never had a Berniecrat run in FL

2018-08-29 15:42:13 UTC  

If I were him I'd get a plan out there on solving the red tide problem, that's something that a lot of people are going to admire

2018-08-29 15:42:25 UTC  

maybe it wouldn't have been that close if it was, say, Jeb vs Sanders or Trump vs Sanders

2018-08-29 15:42:26 UTC  

I think DeSantis will get the cubans by like 10-15 points

2018-08-29 15:42:39 UTC  

Could be less, could be more

2018-08-29 15:42:46 UTC  

@FLanon do you think FL would still be close if it were Bernie vs Trump

2018-08-29 15:43:00 UTC  

No

2018-08-29 15:43:01 UTC  

we've never had a Bernie type candidate run state wide there

2018-08-29 15:43:07 UTC  

the Democrats have always been milquetoast

2018-08-29 15:43:15 UTC  

By not close, I mean "not within 2 points"

2018-08-29 15:43:44 UTC  

The cubans only voted Trump by like 5 points because Clinton was still a capitalist

2018-08-29 15:44:01 UTC  

With someone like Bernie, that'd go up to like 20 points at the very least imo

2018-08-29 15:44:19 UTC  

yep

2018-08-29 15:44:26 UTC  

@FLanon there's no way it'll be 10 points, I'm betting 8 at the most. Cubans are trending democrat and Trump only carried the By 4.6. So a trump endorsement and trump like character I doubt will improve a lot.

2018-08-29 15:44:38 UTC  

Not with an open socialist

2018-08-29 15:44:43 UTC  

people tend to bash Hillary by proxy

"she lost to Trump, therefore she was a realllyyy bad candidate, so ANY OTHER DEMOCRAT WOULD HAVE WON"

2018-08-29 15:44:44 UTC  

not true

2018-08-29 15:44:48 UTC  

And again, Trump v Clinton was 2 capitalists

2018-08-29 15:45:02 UTC  

Haha

2018-08-29 15:45:03 UTC  

Hilary

2018-08-29 15:45:05 UTC  

Capitalist

2018-08-29 15:45:10 UTC  

But yeah I get it

2018-08-29 15:45:16 UTC  

zak

2018-08-29 15:45:30 UTC  

Polling is saying that Cubans are like 24 points in the direction of Rick Scott

2018-08-29 15:45:42 UTC  

Rick Scott isn't Ron DeSantis