Message from @FLanon
Discord ID: 484387414807281684
Hopefully the fact he's an open socialist alienates the Cuban voters
we should assume that Gillum will turn out high numbers of minority and youth voters - so, we have to take away as many moderates away from him as possible.
assume the best case scenario for the opposition, and work accordingly
The cuban voters will definitelt not be thrilled by that
now, it could be that Gillum won't turn out as many minorities/youth as he'd like, leading to an even worse defeat than the ones Rick Scott dealt to Alex Sink in 2010 and Charlie Crist in 2014
They're probably not going to be like 30+ for DeSantis considering they don't like Trump as much as they like Rick Scott, but I mean they won't vote for Gillum
yeah about that @FLanon
now, FL always seems to be so close that if DeSantis screws it up, it could lead to Gillum winning. It doesn't even require a Roy Moore tier scenario
Does Desantis have anything going for him besides being "The Trump guy" @FLanon
We might find that a sanders black man will be the perfect problem.
The problem with sanders was he lost the black vote because he didn't pander to minorities, but he stole the white vote for being so socialist.
I think there's a chance this socialist black combo will become a formidable opponent because it takes the best of sanders, and simultaneously improves on it.
He's a veteran, that's his other thing
That's one problem with his campaign is it isn't very state-issue oriented
however, FL has been close for
Hillary vs Trump. Hillary was arguably a centrist. Trump was perceived by some as radical, but many of his policy proposals weren't that extreme
Rick Scott vs Charlie Crist. Two moderates.
Obama vs Romney. Two moderates
Rick Scott vs Alex Sink. Two moderates
^so...we've never had a Berniecrat run in FL
If I were him I'd get a plan out there on solving the red tide problem, that's something that a lot of people are going to admire
maybe it wouldn't have been that close if it was, say, Jeb vs Sanders or Trump vs Sanders
I think DeSantis will get the cubans by like 10-15 points
@FLanon do you think FL would still be close if it were Bernie vs Trump
No
we've never had a Bernie type candidate run state wide there
the Democrats have always been milquetoast
By not close, I mean "not within 2 points"
The cubans only voted Trump by like 5 points because Clinton was still a capitalist
With someone like Bernie, that'd go up to like 20 points at the very least imo
yep
@FLanon there's no way it'll be 10 points, I'm betting 8 at the most. Cubans are trending democrat and Trump only carried the By 4.6. So a trump endorsement and trump like character I doubt will improve a lot.
Not with an open socialist
people tend to bash Hillary by proxy
"she lost to Trump, therefore she was a realllyyy bad candidate, so ANY OTHER DEMOCRAT WOULD HAVE WON"
not true
And again, Trump v Clinton was 2 capitalists
Haha
Hilary
Capitalist
But yeah I get it
zak
Polling is saying that Cubans are like 24 points in the direction of Rick Scott
Rick Scott isn't Ron DeSantis