Message from @AnonFrom/b/

Discord ID: 484388492965707786


2018-08-29 15:44:01 UTC  

With someone like Bernie, that'd go up to like 20 points at the very least imo

2018-08-29 15:44:19 UTC  

yep

2018-08-29 15:44:26 UTC  

@FLanon there's no way it'll be 10 points, I'm betting 8 at the most. Cubans are trending democrat and Trump only carried the By 4.6. So a trump endorsement and trump like character I doubt will improve a lot.

2018-08-29 15:44:38 UTC  

Not with an open socialist

2018-08-29 15:44:43 UTC  

people tend to bash Hillary by proxy

"she lost to Trump, therefore she was a realllyyy bad candidate, so ANY OTHER DEMOCRAT WOULD HAVE WON"

2018-08-29 15:44:44 UTC  

not true

2018-08-29 15:44:48 UTC  

And again, Trump v Clinton was 2 capitalists

2018-08-29 15:45:02 UTC  

Haha

2018-08-29 15:45:03 UTC  

Hilary

2018-08-29 15:45:05 UTC  

Capitalist

2018-08-29 15:45:10 UTC  

But yeah I get it

2018-08-29 15:45:16 UTC  

zak

2018-08-29 15:45:30 UTC  

Polling is saying that Cubans are like 24 points in the direction of Rick Scott

2018-08-29 15:45:42 UTC  

Rick Scott isn't Ron DeSantis

2018-08-29 15:45:49 UTC  

Rick Scott is a moderate

2018-08-29 15:45:59 UTC  

Well Rick Scott isn't running against a socialist, now is he?

2018-08-29 15:46:18 UTC  

Ron DeSantis is a mini trump, which Cubans only voted for by a Margin of 4-5

2018-08-29 15:46:19 UTC  

10-15 points, I'm calling it.

2018-08-29 15:46:23 UTC  

I think it balances out

2018-08-29 15:46:42 UTC  

The thing is, zak, Trump was running against Clinton, who was a liberal capitalist

2018-08-29 15:46:56 UTC  

neoliberal

2018-08-29 15:46:57 UTC  

5-10

2018-08-29 15:47:01 UTC  

I'd be shocked if it's above 10

2018-08-29 15:47:10 UTC  

Maybe I'm just too blackpilled

2018-08-29 15:47:20 UTC  

10-15, and honestly imo I'm lowballing

2018-08-29 15:47:25 UTC  

...

2018-08-29 15:47:31 UTC  

I'll hold you to that

2018-08-29 15:47:33 UTC  

:)

2018-08-29 15:47:36 UTC  

well what about the white vote

2018-08-29 15:47:43 UTC  

since they're the majority

2018-08-29 15:48:01 UTC  

I'll take that bet honestly

2018-08-29 15:48:14 UTC  

Oh the boomers will certainly not vote Gillum over DeSantis

2018-08-29 15:48:16 UTC  

Oh but yeah, I think a black socialist is going to be a formidable combo if democrats abandon the white conservative democrat meme.

2018-08-29 15:48:36 UTC  

It'll keep the white vote, especially the college educated, and also turn out the blacks

2018-08-29 15:48:36 UTC  

pretty sure Trump won the FL white vote by about 30 points

2018-08-29 15:49:42 UTC  

Blacks will certainly turn out, white moderates will either keep the governor ballot blank or maybe even vote DeSantis, and cubans will certainly not vote in large numbers for Gillum

2018-08-29 15:50:24 UTC  

@zakattack04 do you live in a competitive district

2018-08-29 15:50:32 UTC  

@AnonFrom/b/ extremely competitive yes

2018-08-29 15:50:47 UTC  

All three credible sources indicate it a tossup

2018-08-29 15:51:16 UTC  

and the people that make (((predictions))) have it as lean democrat

2018-08-29 15:51:43 UTC  

is it a split-ticket district