Message from @Marini

Discord ID: 493918418819612673


2018-09-24 17:38:08 UTC  

Hopefully just some edgy kids

2018-09-24 17:39:16 UTC  

probably is

2018-09-24 17:56:55 UTC  

so...is that confirmed

2018-09-24 17:57:06 UTC  

Dunno

2018-09-24 17:57:26 UTC  

At the very least its being reported on broad scale

2018-09-24 17:57:35 UTC  

But I haven’t seen an official statement

2018-09-24 21:58:44 UTC  

Good news

2018-09-24 22:51:09 UTC  

YES

2018-09-24 22:51:14 UTC  

PLEASE VOTE NO MANCHIN

2018-09-24 22:51:24 UTC  

SACRIFICE YOUR REELECTION

2018-09-24 22:51:36 UTC  

Manchin voting no would definitely hurt his bipartisan street cred

2018-09-24 22:54:09 UTC  

PredictIt has been betting on Manchin NO for awhile now.

2018-09-24 22:54:43 UTC  

And Manchin voting no will destroy his reelection

2018-09-24 22:54:54 UTC  

Yeah

2018-09-24 22:55:22 UTC  

So let's hope he votes no

2018-09-24 22:55:27 UTC  

well

2018-09-24 22:55:35 UTC  

I want another yes vote but I mean

2018-09-24 22:55:44 UTC  

Pure party line is optimal.

2018-09-24 22:55:54 UTC  

On the other hand, it'll likely also prevent Kavanaugh's nomination in the here and now.

2018-09-24 22:56:04 UTC  

Him getting 56 votes is worse than him not getting the nom.

2018-09-24 22:56:24 UTC  

But they can always nominate him post-midterms

2018-09-24 22:56:29 UTC  

@Nuke predictit been calling a hard Kavanaugh confirmation fail

2018-09-24 22:56:30 UTC  

We can keep the senate and can vote again in a few months

2018-09-24 22:56:46 UTC  

But if we fuck up with this map, then we will be fucked

2018-09-24 22:56:52 UTC  

49 or fewer at $0.51

2018-09-24 22:57:03 UTC  

That's 50-50 practically

2018-09-24 22:57:04 UTC  

However it's down 18 cents

2018-09-24 22:57:15 UTC  

Except it's by number of votes

2018-09-24 22:57:30 UTC  

49 or fewer
49 or fewer

49.YEA.SC.103118
51¢ 18¢ 52¢ 51¢ 49¢ 48¢
50
50

50.YEA.SC.103118
8¢ 2¢ 9¢ 8¢ 92¢ 91¢
51
51

51.YEA.SC.103118
28¢ 5¢ 29¢ 28¢ 72¢ 71¢
52
52

52.YEA.SC.103118
11¢ 5¢ 12¢ 10¢ 90¢ 88¢
53
53

53.YEA.SC.103118
7¢ 3¢ 7¢ 6¢ 94¢ 93¢
54
54

54.YEA.SC.103118
5¢ 2¢ 5¢ 4¢ 96¢ 95¢
55
55

55.YEA.SC.103118
3¢ 1¢ 3¢ 2¢ 98¢ 97¢
56
56

56.YEA.SC.103118
1¢ NC 2¢ 1¢ 99¢ 98¢
57
57

57.YEA.SC.103118
1¢ NC 1¢ None None 99¢
58
58

58.YEA.SC.103118
1¢ NC 1¢ None None 99¢
59
59

59.YEA.SC.103118
1¢ NC 1¢ None None 99¢
60 or more
60 or more

60.YEA.SC.103118
1¢ NC 1¢ None None 99¢

2018-09-24 22:57:34 UTC  

Link predictit page

2018-09-24 22:57:42 UTC  

Yeah that's a better idea lol

2018-09-24 22:58:02 UTC  

The second most popular is 51 confirms

2018-09-24 22:59:10 UTC  

Hm

2018-09-24 22:59:35 UTC  

Well I don't think that'll be that bad.

2018-09-24 22:59:43 UTC  

Very low confidence in a SCOTUS confirmation this month