Gillum's accepted invitations from 3 stations, Univision, Leadership Florida and CNN. Only 2 stations have overlap.

are they gonna do a spanish debate?

It seems from observation that DeSantis's strategy is to overpower Gillum in the debates, and while he does need to do that, he also needs to campaign.

I've seen that possibility thrown around, that would happen I think if they debated on Telemundo or Univision

ah ok

actually shit, doesn't early voting start there soon?

October 27

oh ok i thought you guys were one of the super early states for some reason

which state has a month? NC?

idk

i think NV might too

Anyways, debates are important, but so are yard signs and ads

yea

are scott and desantis doing any events together?

Gillum has been virtually untouched in attack ads, there's plenty there that DeSantis can beat him down with

I think they've already done one earlier

nice

normally you'd think they're going for different lanes but

i think the kav stuff has united the right

Definitely. Bill Nelson's No vote is going to really hurt him.

Fantastic for us

i don't get him and mccaskill coming out as NOs so early. unless their internal polling is much different than public polling, that's crazy

Net of +30% whites want Kav confirmed and a net of hispanic men want Kav confirmed as well, and hispanics in FL tend to be less liberal than nationally (they still are liberal mind you, but the cubans skew it)

donnelly too, but midwest polling is shit so we have no clue what that race looks like

So it will hurt him quite a bit to be a no vote

yea

Hopefully that depresses independent support for him and FL dems in general, including Gillum

btw

10/26, q3 gdp comes out

if that's 3.0 or higher, will be a huge boost

If you have less people voting for Nelson, you have some less people voting for Gillum, hopefully that translates

yea

Any projections on GDP yet?

http://projects.wsj.com/econforecast/#ind=gdp&r=20 the average projection is 3.22

I think the USMCA could help us quite a bit with that for the time remaining

Maybe bump it to like 3.5

yea

especially since the hurricane didn't fuck up shipments as much as it could

and since the european trade stuff has been over for a while

Another big problem with the NJ polls is that minority’s are horrendously underrepresented in the sample.
Menendez is probably up mid-single digits

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