Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃
Discord ID: 401538063802564639
is this one in general?
hello and welcome to data
So based on that, it looks like there might be a blue wave?
yes, but again, it can be minimized
What makes the midterms flip to the opposite party of the President that was elected before it?
midterms are seen as referendums on the ruling party
the opposition party usually has higher turnout because their voters are motivated to stop the ruling party's agenda
Virginia election data
D+2.9: R 236; D 199
D+5.9: R 231; D 204
D+7.9: R 225 ; D 210
D+9.9: R 218; D 217
D+12.9: R 196; D 239
I have read that the Libertarians caused the Democrat Pickup in 2016
Which Democrat pickup?
Trump probably would have won in New Hampshire and Nevada were it not for the Libertarians
he also could have won Minnesota
I doubt that
The type of people who voted for gary weren't potential MAGA guys, I can tell you that.
why not ?
Trump has libertarian appeal
Styxhexenhammer666 was originally planning to vote for Johnson but decided to choose Trump