Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃
Discord ID: 414935257389989898
Dems burn through money I mean
Democrats will generally vote for the D candidate no matter what, even if they are too progressive or too moderate, in order to spite Drumpf
however, independents are another story
The last couple polls on the generic ballot bode very well, you have R+1 w/ the morning consult poll (up 5 pts from their previous poll) and D+4 on the latest YouGov poll (up 2 pts from their previous poll)
Which yougov poll?
latest one
My one qualm with your recommendations, @🎃Boo-ton🎃
Is that consumer confidence etc. are amazing right now.
If there's any economic issue, it's the stock market, but that's only because of the correction.
It's really the fault of Congress.
As the stock market skyrocketed expecting great 2017 legislation, repealing Obamacare etc.
But the Republicans did not pass such legislation.
Does anyone have the Cook Party Senate ratings for 2016?
@Den I think those can be looked up on Ballotpedia
This is the closest thing I could find
https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_elections,_2016
They rated the Wisconsin race as "slightly D" when the R won
They rated Ohio a toss-up when Portman won by 20 points
Wow
@Red Storm (in NYC)
battleground states where Trump's base (WWC) is most prominent (percent of population):
1.) West Virginia (65.8%)
2.) Montana (58.0%)
3.) North Dakota (57.2%)
4.) Missouri (53.5%)
5.) Ohio (52.2%)
Ohio is based
Ohio is the largest of al those
Are those pluses and minuses in comparison to Romney in 2012
it's the margin of how Trump performed among these groups in 2016
the percentage represents the total amount of these groups among voters, right?
so whites are 71% of voters, then?
correct
if whites continue to have this high of turnout, then that has to count for something, right?
if Whites turnout like they did in 2016, we could win every election for at least a decade
well, we've got to make that happen, then
whites have always turned out more in the midterms than minorities
are there any stats for that, that could be interesting.
say no more, fam
compared w/ the presidential elections though
Well, that doesn't seem to be a good way of telling, white turnout among their own demographic is one thing, having data for whites among all voters, and their results in both the midterms and presidential would be what I'm looking for