Message from @FLanon

Discord ID: 413518680039882764


2018-02-13 17:37:20 UTC  

I mean with the exception of California the more diverse states tend to be where Whites vote the most overwhelmingly Republican

2018-02-13 18:30:22 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/413039214255538186/1518545436911.gif

2018-02-14 05:21:28 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/413203067442429984/instructions.jpg

2018-02-14 11:11:17 UTC  
2018-02-14 15:54:37 UTC  

What are going to be the effect of having most of the Republicans funded by the RNC and the Democrats funded individually?

2018-02-14 18:38:43 UTC  

@Den I'm not sure. I think the Democrats will still get enough funding on an individual basis from Soros and the like

2018-02-14 18:38:47 UTC  

maybe not though

2018-02-14 18:38:57 UTC  

if they don't get enough funding, the Republicans will have a HUGE advantage

2018-02-14 18:50:42 UTC  

@Red Storm (in NYC) What I mean is Republicans are donating to the RNC and Democrats are donating directly to Candidates. I wonder what the effects will be? I assume a lot of duplicate effort for the Dems. And a lot of money going to candidates that will either easily win or have no chance

2018-02-14 18:51:12 UTC  

the RNC will be able to distribute the funds to the candidates who need it the most,

2018-02-14 18:51:48 UTC  

whereas Dem candidates' oppurtunities will be isolated to their own donations, assuming they are at the recieving end

2018-02-14 18:52:43 UTC  

A lot of money to will be spent during primaries against other Dems trying to get the nominee to take on the Republican in the general

2018-02-14 18:58:08 UTC  

@Den Yeah, apparently there are so many Democrats running this year that many of them damage their party's chances by attacking each other in the primaries

2018-02-14 18:58:49 UTC  

leeeet's not jump to conclusions...

2018-02-14 18:58:59 UTC  

many won't win the primaries

2018-02-14 19:01:08 UTC  

yeah, but the primary survivors can be damaged by their opponents attacks against them

2018-02-14 19:02:35 UTC  

I think the damage will occur if they push the other candidate too far left to pick up Normies during the General. I think Democrats will vote for against the Great Satan (Republicans) no matter what. It will also force them to burn through money

2018-02-14 19:02:56 UTC  

Dems burn through money I mean

2018-02-14 19:10:01 UTC  

Democrats will generally vote for the D candidate no matter what, even if they are too progressive or too moderate, in order to spite Drumpf

2018-02-14 19:10:10 UTC  

however, independents are another story

2018-02-15 02:15:36 UTC  

The last couple polls on the generic ballot bode very well, you have R+1 w/ the morning consult poll (up 5 pts from their previous poll) and D+4 on the latest YouGov poll (up 2 pts from their previous poll)

2018-02-15 02:32:25 UTC  

Which yougov poll?

2018-02-15 02:37:49 UTC  

latest one

2018-02-15 17:43:34 UTC  

My one qualm with your recommendations, @🎃Boo-ton🎃

2018-02-15 17:43:45 UTC  

Is that consumer confidence etc. are amazing right now.

2018-02-15 17:43:57 UTC  

If there's any economic issue, it's the stock market, but that's only because of the correction.

2018-02-15 17:44:03 UTC  

It's really the fault of Congress.

2018-02-15 17:44:26 UTC  

As the stock market skyrocketed expecting great 2017 legislation, repealing Obamacare etc.

2018-02-15 17:44:40 UTC  

But the Republicans did not pass such legislation.

2018-02-18 14:40:40 UTC  

Does anyone have the Cook Party Senate ratings for 2016?

2018-02-18 14:44:05 UTC  

@Den I think those can be looked up on Ballotpedia

2018-02-18 14:49:08 UTC  
2018-02-18 14:49:28 UTC  

They rated the Wisconsin race as "slightly D" when the R won

2018-02-18 14:51:13 UTC  

They rated Ohio a toss-up when Portman won by 20 points

2018-02-18 21:07:19 UTC  

Wow

2018-02-18 23:54:02 UTC  

new data: where Trump's base is concentrated by state

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/414932608246349834/demographic_projections_for_the_november_2016_general_election.png

2018-02-19 00:04:34 UTC  

@Red Storm (in NYC)
battleground states where Trump's base (WWC) is most prominent (percent of population):
1.) West Virginia (65.8%)
2.) Montana (58.0%)
3.) North Dakota (57.2%)
4.) Missouri (53.5%)
5.) Ohio (52.2%)

2018-02-19 00:11:28 UTC  

Ohio is based

2018-02-19 00:27:16 UTC  

Ohio is the largest of al those

2018-02-19 15:47:40 UTC  

Trump's base

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/415172594711527445/trump_base.png