Moore was popular among conservatives in Alabama for quite some time

He was known for his religious rulings as a judge for decades,

Bannon or not, he was always likely to win the primary

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 yeah, I think I might have heard of Moore years ago back when that 10 Commandment thing was in the news

there's no real way of knowing now I guess

he definitely shouldn't have watched football during that last weekend though

God, I hope another scandal doesn't break out in the near future

here's something very important to keep in mind: people on /pol/ and other right wing spaces on the Internet ....are NOT the same thing as GOP voters

during those last few days of the presidential campaign, Trump was fucking grinding it with those rallies, 4 states in a day, that's the mentality we need

there are many, many GOP voters who are old people who don't even know how to use the Internet that well

There are two types of GOP voters,

small town voters without college degrees, and college-educated voters in the suburbs

people from /pol/ would have been fine voting for Moore, but some old lady getting her news from local talk radio (which apparently railed hard against Moore), would have voted write-in or abstained

Trump is popular amongst the first, but not the other, which poses trouble for the midterms

the thing is, people aren't voting for Trump in the midterms

I'd argue that people are overemphasizing it as a "referendum on Trump"

I thought that too, but,

The rich who live in the suburbs watching Fox the whole time definitely stayed home in AL

no question

in the Virginia gubertorial race,

2 to 1 voters say they voted for Northam to show opposition to Trump

in New Jersey, it was 3 to 1

sauce ?

those people probably would have voted for Northam regardless

and when you interview them as they walk out the polls, then ask them "is showing opposition against Trump a reason" , they could easily say 'yes'

but the thing is, they would have voted for the D candidate anyway

Jill Vogel, the Trump candidate in the Lieutenant Governor race, got around the same percentage as Trump

while Gillespie, who shunned Trump, got less

I mean, its Virginia, one of the more blue states.

not by much though

also, look at this shift from 2016 to 2017

both from Virginia btw

not a big difference

going from +4 Republican to +3 Democrat is a troubling change

it looks like a turnout thing'

true

arguably there are aa loty of Trump voters who stayed home and didn't want Gillespie

again, Vogel did better as the Trump candidate

that's a problem

what did that video of the truck mowing down the kids actually scare them or something