Message from @Otto

Discord ID: 621431186455134208


2019-09-11 19:38:13 UTC  

Looking at 2018, they might qualify as solidly blue

2019-09-11 19:38:31 UTC  

Nothing's written in stone

2019-09-11 19:38:36 UTC  

yet

2019-09-11 19:38:49 UTC  

Although they have shifted blue

2019-09-11 19:38:57 UTC  

The D governor of MI won by 10% in 2018

2019-09-11 19:39:09 UTC  

By contrast, trump won there in 2016 by .3%

2019-09-11 19:39:26 UTC  

Here are some other fun facts:

2019-09-11 19:40:10 UTC  

Trump got fewer votes in MI, WI & PA (each individually and as a whole) in 2016 than George Bush got in those states in 2004 when he lost all three

2019-09-11 19:43:39 UTC  

Also one of “the squad” is from MI, so that doesn’t exactly help trump there

2019-09-11 19:43:56 UTC  

the squad?

2019-09-11 19:44:01 UTC  

And shitting all over AZ doesn’t help him there, which is another swing state

2019-09-11 19:44:17 UTC  

I also think Virginia's cooked

2019-09-11 19:44:22 UTC  

yeah it's not looking good

2019-09-11 19:44:38 UTC  

The squad is AOC, Ayanna Pressley, Rashida Tliab and Ilhan Omar

2019-09-11 19:44:46 UTC  

Trump good

2019-09-11 19:44:51 UTC  

Democrats bad

2019-09-11 19:44:59 UTC  

hilarious

2019-09-11 19:45:06 UTC  

I go watch louder with crowder now

2019-09-11 19:45:07 UTC  

Yeah I mean Clinton won VA in 2016 I don’t think there’s any real chance Trump could take it in 2020

2019-09-11 19:45:20 UTC  

Who cares about va

2019-09-11 19:45:40 UTC  

Edgar Allan Poe

2019-09-11 19:45:50 UTC  

*Not Allen

2019-09-11 19:46:03 UTC  

Learn your classics

2019-09-11 19:47:15 UTC  

Ahhhhh

2019-09-11 19:47:36 UTC  

smh

2019-09-11 21:01:10 UTC  

@Platinum Spark You know that Trump insults the squad to make sure more people take notice of it

2019-09-11 21:02:08 UTC  

Basically, his plan is to get people to focus on the squad and then link the entire Democrat party to the Squad, which is good for Trump

2019-09-11 21:02:30 UTC  

Makes it easier to appeal to people who are less on the extremes

2019-09-11 21:03:28 UTC  

Not shocking that when your elections become like a reality tv show, the guy who wins it is a reality tv star

2019-09-11 21:04:51 UTC  

I mean AOC (for example) is going with the Trumpian view that any publicity is good publicity (even if it makes her seem like a pretentious teenager)

2019-09-11 21:30:46 UTC  

Well, it fires up his base

2019-09-11 21:30:59 UTC  

But it fires up the progressive base too

2019-09-11 21:31:30 UTC  

And when your margin in mi is .3%, you can’t afford to fire up people in Ann Arbor and flint

2019-09-11 23:01:05 UTC  

@Platinum Spark I know the article is about approval ratings, what I said was that he was simply gaining more minority support in a general sense. Also I do not see how the article synonymized approval ratings with vote total, I'm pretty sure it does make a distinction between the two. These two things also tend to correlate, however, so it isn't wrong to say that if these numbers hold the very well can land him a second term, especially given the other things in his favor this time.

2019-09-11 23:02:33 UTC  

Unless there is something that I missed in the article

2019-09-11 23:10:21 UTC  

I will say though that it shouldn't have claimed that Trump has a certain victory, because it's still too early to tell for sure.

2019-09-11 23:17:17 UTC  

It really doesn't suggest that he's gaining minority support

2019-09-11 23:17:27 UTC  

it's also not a legitimate news source

2019-09-11 23:18:46 UTC  

It makes no claim on how many points it went up by

2019-09-11 23:19:03 UTC  

it straight up says those polls are considered outliers