Message from @Platinum Spark

Discord ID: 636676831197790208


2019-10-23 21:16:54 UTC  

Ok but let’s use actual evidence

2019-10-23 21:17:15 UTC  

The fight is between Biden and Warren (Bernie could come back but it's unlikely)

2019-10-23 21:17:36 UTC  

Warren will get more support from the more progressive side of the Party

2019-10-23 21:17:42 UTC  

Biden will get the moderates

2019-10-23 21:17:52 UTC  

What’s your theory of the case for Biden

2019-10-23 21:18:11 UTC  

Maybe a month ago, but polls don’t support that narrative right now

2019-10-23 21:18:40 UTC  

I was just stating the worst case scenario for anyone who wants Trump out of office

2019-10-23 21:19:00 UTC  

Which would (in my opinion) be Biden winning over Bernie or Warren

2019-10-23 21:21:04 UTC  

Sure

2019-10-23 21:21:52 UTC  

But it doesn’t make a ton of sense that that’s true AND Dems would shoot themselves in the foot

2019-10-23 21:22:22 UTC  

Oh, one tweet I loved from Yang. Paraphrasing a bit but it goes "if you portray your Presidential elections as a Reality TV show, don't be shocked that a Reality TV star became President"

2019-10-23 21:22:56 UTC  

Yeah that’s a fun line but like, so?

2019-10-23 21:23:06 UTC  

The reality is, buzzwords and brash decisions are preferred by the news than actual policies

2019-10-23 21:23:09 UTC  

And Biden sure isn’t the reality tv choice

2019-10-23 21:23:18 UTC  

I'm talking about Trump winning

2019-10-23 21:24:22 UTC  

He did well because he said the most idiotic things you can think of. Calling Mexicans "criminals", saying he'll bomb Muslim families in Syria

2019-10-23 21:25:38 UTC  

I disagree

2019-10-23 21:25:46 UTC  

I agree that the polls point to Biden not being the nominee. But isn't the DNC process for actually voting on one kind of weird?

2019-10-23 21:25:47 UTC  

There’s very little evidence to show that helped

2019-10-23 21:25:57 UTC  

No, how is it weird?

2019-10-23 21:26:25 UTC  

All those issues were relitigated in 2018 with disastrous consequences for trump

2019-10-23 21:27:19 UTC  

I mean midterms usually favour the opposition party

2019-10-23 21:27:25 UTC  

That’s not accurate

2019-10-23 21:27:30 UTC  

The party's presidential nominee is chosen primarily by pledged delegates, which are in turn selected through a series of individual state caucuses and primary elections. Superdelegates, delegates whose votes are not bound to the outcome of a state's caucus or primary, may also influence the nomination.

The size of delegations to the Democratic National Convention, for each state, territory, or other political subdivision, are described in the party's quadrennial Call for the Democratic National Convention.

Idk that seems pretty obtuse to me

2019-10-23 21:27:35 UTC  

Midterms usually favor conservatives

2019-10-23 21:27:39 UTC  

Who have higher turnout

2019-10-23 21:27:53 UTC  

And not indicative of polls which basically deal with it like it's a popular vote

2019-10-23 21:28:05 UTC  

Well hold up

2019-10-23 21:28:15 UTC  

First of all, superdelegates only get to vote on late ballots

2019-10-23 21:28:20 UTC  

Basically tie breakers

2019-10-23 21:28:21 UTC  

In many states you have to physically show up to some convention to "vote"

2019-10-23 21:28:36 UTC  

Yes, those are caucuses

2019-10-23 21:28:41 UTC  

Primaries aren't a thing in the UK

2019-10-23 21:28:49 UTC  

Secondly, the superdelegates represent the party

2019-10-23 21:29:08 UTC  

Definitely unique from my perspective

2019-10-23 21:29:16 UTC  

They’re the actual party, they keep the process from getting hijacked

2019-10-23 21:29:21 UTC  

They’re all elected

2019-10-23 21:29:35 UTC  

Or they were all elected at some point, some are legacy

2019-10-23 21:29:45 UTC  

Like Obama, Clinton and Carter get to vote

2019-10-23 21:30:16 UTC  

But that’s a tiny number of them

2019-10-23 21:30:25 UTC  

Yeah I'm just saying that a (popular) poll showing Biden behind doesn't necessarily translate to how many delegates will pick who