Message from @Leiro レイロ

Discord ID: 506470902527950849


2018-10-29 14:05:13 UTC  

So far as our current knowledge goes, no. Computing optimal prices turns out to have the same complexity as computing the optimal plan itself

2018-10-29 14:05:13 UTC  

Well, as I said, quantum computing nor linear programming existed during the time of the Soviet Union powerful enough to calculate economic and macroeconomic functions on a national level at that time.

2018-10-29 14:05:32 UTC  

this was written in 2012 by a statistics and computer science professor at Carnegie Mellon

2018-10-29 14:06:01 UTC  

The computational complexity formula I quoted above already allows for only needing to come close to the optimum. Worse, the complexity depends only very slowly, logarithmically, on the approximation to the optimum, so accepting a bit more slop buys us only a very slight savings in computation time. (The optimistic spin is that if we can do the calculations at all, we can come quite close to the optimum.) This route is blocked.

2018-10-29 14:07:45 UTC  

yeah maybe in a century when a supercomputer is able to calculate for every single nuance, every single preference then maybe socialism will be possible

2018-10-29 14:09:44 UTC  

calculation_debate.pdf

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/432587768682643480/506469692211331072/calculation_debate.pdf

2018-10-29 14:10:08 UTC  

yes, that's why I said quantum computing makes it very possible

2018-10-29 14:10:24 UTC  

this pdf shows how it can be achieved through supercomputers

2018-10-29 14:10:58 UTC  

but just because a computer program can optimize the most efficient use of resources doesnt automatically mean thats what the market desires

2018-10-29 14:11:00 UTC  

theres a clear disconnect

2018-10-29 14:11:22 UTC  

there would be no market under central planning

2018-10-29 14:11:36 UTC  

it still works under supply and demand

2018-10-29 14:11:44 UTC  

but not under a market

2018-10-29 14:11:52 UTC  

The innumerable living participants in the economy, state and private, collective and individual, must serve notice of their needs and of their relative strength not only through the statistical determinations of plan commissions but by the direct pressure of supply and demand. The plan is checked and, to a considerable degree, realized through the market.

-Trotsky

2018-10-29 14:12:12 UTC  

did they have computers in 1924?

2018-10-29 14:12:21 UTC  

obviously he didn't forsee computers.

2018-10-29 14:12:43 UTC  

that's like asking a man of the 60s to expect what's the Internet

2018-10-29 14:14:02 UTC  

quantum computing today is not capable of allocating resources efficiently though

2018-10-29 14:14:26 UTC  

that's why the technology should be worked upon and improved on

2018-10-29 14:14:32 UTC  

it's still at its infancy

2018-10-29 14:14:39 UTC  

but linear programming is a given

2018-10-29 14:16:01 UTC  

technology has created new kinds of democracy, socialism and other economic concepts unbeknownst to a man couple of decades ago

2018-10-29 14:16:29 UTC  

so it should be worked upon, until proven superior to market forces

2018-10-29 14:18:27 UTC  

so what I'm saying is that, when the general populace becomes educated about socialism and becomes class conscious, it will be the final nail on the coffin for capitalism

2018-10-29 14:31:06 UTC  

except computer chips and supercomputers are already being designed by multiple firms and we are still decades away from a computer that *theoretically* can perfectly allocate resources

2018-10-29 14:31:21 UTC  

I think better education drives people away from socialism

2018-10-29 14:31:52 UTC  

Interesting to think that the computing solution is likely going to be brought about by a capitalist society

2018-10-29 14:32:34 UTC  

and supply and demand are literally market forces. so how would your system "still work under supply and demand" but "not under a market"

2018-10-29 14:32:56 UTC  

That's like predicting the weather more than a few days out

2018-10-29 14:33:06 UTC  

It can't be done.

2018-10-29 14:34:17 UTC  

It's probably even more complicated than the weather. It's like chaos theory. Where the variables change to quickly ad dramatically to predict what the effect of a butterflies flapping its wings will be

2018-10-29 14:36:59 UTC  

and the trotsky quote i posted literally had nothng to do with computers but quite literally the opposite. your computers and models have to account for human want and need that are hard to account for with computers

2018-10-29 14:37:45 UTC  

Yeah that's a recipe for disaster

2018-10-29 14:39:19 UTC  

Socialism thrives under war. Capitalism thrives better.

2018-10-29 14:40:17 UTC  

If you want socialism to work, there needs to be more of a communal goal other than to peacefully exist.

2018-10-29 14:42:04 UTC  

Capitalism is war, you compete daily to make yourself better than your competitors. Socialism is like a stagnant halt to progress, unless there is a bigger goal in mind, like getting to the moon or bankrupting the US in the Cold War.

2018-10-29 14:43:07 UTC  

But the individuals, I just don't see how they would feel motivated to do anything unless they are heavily propagandized by the state

2018-10-29 14:54:39 UTC  

@Egoy true, that's why I said we had to work on the development of quantum computing until we have reached a sufficient level of computing power to calculate economic processes. When I meant by "supply and demand" in a socialist economy, I mean this law would still be in place, as supercomputers measure the demand and supply of every commodity, and then allocate relevant amount of production to each sector.
Yes, human wants is a reflection of commodities being produced and sold, it will always account for it.

2018-10-29 14:58:18 UTC  

@raqdog capitalism is merely transitionary, socialism depends on the industrial base of capitalism to build itself up. Capitalism, like any other ideology, is not permenant and will give way to another economic ideology superior to itself. In a socialist society, there will be always a slight surplus of commodities, in the case of unforseen and marginal fluctuations in the consumption of consumer goods. If this is the case, supercomputers would account for it and draw back production from relevant sectors and increase production in a sector where its lacking.
Yes, socialism is a communal goal, it can only be achieved when the working class is educated about socialism and class consciousness. Socialism has nothing to do with the state, decisions are made by the people and the people alone.

2018-10-29 15:02:36 UTC  

Socialism IS a communal goal? Or socialism NEEDS a communal goal? That's the difference here