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<:red:432915336648720404>
There was a circlejerk in PredictIt from leftists about Blankenship winning
one of them LOST $1700 because he thought those dumb rednecks would vote for Blankenship and ruin Trump and ruin the GOP's chances of winning WV
<:samhyde:443557059150086144> <:samhyde:443557059150086144>
NC-09 looks like a certain loss. Dan McCready is a young, fresh-faced man. People are comparing him to Conor Lamb.
Not certain.
Mark Harris doesn't look TERRIBLE however.
Likely, maybe.
His aesthetic appeal is superior to the incumbent Robert Pittenger.
That sheep pic is 1776 pixels wide.
02, 09, 13 are all districts which could flip in North Carolina.
09 wasn't supposed to be a tossup, folks. lol
It was seen as a GOP lean prior to these primaries.
A disaster
Heat Street is a terrible publication.
Yes.
We're fucking dead
we're going to be crucified
R+48
all because Trump couldn't build the wall
That would be like a Republican winning Nacy Pelosi's seat!
If these primaries are predictive even partially, the House is gone.
I tried to warn him
It's not Trump lol
ZAK
YOU RETARD
What
it's not a fucking open primary
Pittenger has officially lost his primary to Mark Harris.
Zak is 100% right
the democrats have a plurality
THE DEMOCRATS GOT MORE VOTES THAN REPUBLICANS IN 2016
IN THE PRIMARIES
your just an Alabama nigger who'll never be free @Pielover19
they have to vote with the party they're affiliated with in the primaries
BUT TRUMP WON BY 48 POINTS
west coast retard
JESUS CHRIST STOP THIS
@Pielover19 AND
WV03 going blue
STOP SPREADING MISINFORMATION
NC09 going blue
We lost seats in 2016
TX23 going blue
So that means the trend continues
That we're getting wrecked
IL12 going to blue
It doesn't mean it's over.
it has absolutely nothing to do with the trend
What the hell?
But this is not a good indicator.
How does the trend have to do with West Virginia?
^
It's yet another data point which favours the blue wave..
The rule in West Virginia is you ***must*** vote with the party you're affiliated with
Then why not switch parties?
Huh, Blumpfkins?
In the primaries, we've established that the party is mostly registered dems
THERE ARE A TON OF DEMOCRATS WHO VOTE REPUBLICAN IN THE ELECTIONS
That's not an argument
TRADITION, YOU FOOL!
IF THAT DIDN'T WORK, WHY DID DEMS GET MORE VOTES THAN REPUBLICANS IN 2016?
A ton of democrats?
You mean like what
4%
lol
NO!
Trump won by 48 points, but Dems are a plurality.
We're done @๐Boo-ton๐ Pielover just proved my point.
They are registered democrats
That means that roughly a half of Democrats voted Republicam.
@zakattack04 he's delusional
Democrats won more in the primaries
And we lost seats in the election
Alabamans are too rural and uneducated to understand the data
Both Senate and House
What election?
And that's also a good factor in WV. I don't think we'll lose WV-03.
It'll be close
at the very least
WV-03?
I do however think we'll lose all of the aforementioned seats in NC.
But time will tell.
The dems had a higher vote count then.
Either way, one would have to be bonkers to suggest these results are anything but pessimistic.
man
We've just had consistent loss...
The rules in West Virginia are you must vote with your party in the primaries
Virginia was right.
Stop spreading misinformed blackpills about West Virginia.
You're wrong on this
You are FLanon.
>Rural intellectuals
The Dems got 242,000 votes in the primary in 2016, the Rs got 202,000.
Trump won every county.
How's the "Keep your head high" idealism helping us keep seats.
That was Trump
Trump isn't on the ticket
Oh my God
You can't compare the two.
It's over
The dems got more votes in the fucking primary
We won't lose WV seats, gentlemen.
COMPARE IT TO THE 2012
or must certainly looks that way
Dems got more votes than Reps in 2012, and Romney won by 21 points.
Dem primaries: 134,000 votes
Rep primaries: 85,000 votes
yeah
Urban
retard
SO that's bad news for us
^
THIS WAS IN 2014
WHEN WE WON
BIG TIME
We got every county but "lost the primary"
What the hell is wrong with you!?!?
How is this bad news?!
NC-09 is the most likely to flip out of all the seats today.
NC-09
TX-23
IL-12
all going blue
I think that's fair.
WV03 is a tossup now
I'd regard it a GOP lean.
It'll be within a ten-point margin
Either way, we need Trump rallying in WV, Ohio, Michigan and NC.
You can't say that WV primaries are a predictor of **anything**
Why
Why does Trump have to carry this damn party all the time
Why can't we just be better campaigners
Why does it always come down to "trump has to do a rally"
Ohio's not going red
Yep
The governor will be Republican
but no Red Senator
Statistics suggest Trump is MUCH more popular to his voters than his own party, unfortunately.
And the Senate is what we need...
The GOP is gonna use the threat of Trump's impeachment to get the Magapedes to go vote
Doubt it'll work.
Sherrod Brown's seat is a veritable toss up according to all polls.
LOL
WOW
It was formerly a Democrat lean.
The Conservative Democrat lives on
This is terrible
WV staying blue
The EASIEST pickup
I'm going to give all of you some data about 2014's senate race
Hi going to give all of you some data about 2014's senate race, I'm Dad!
Why can we not just have a tiny white pill, a spec
DO YOU GET THE PICTURE, BLACKPILLERS?
This is different.
FL's right.
2014 we had the advantage because Democrats had the presidency
The swing won't be enough to flip WV-03.
We've got more votes in this election than 2014.
A better proportion.
So this is GOOD for us.
Naw
Not at all
NC is a complete mess.
NC's over
WV in the other hand,
I'll wait to see polling
OH is a disaster unless Renaccci becomes someone he isn;t
Wait a sec, I'll come back in a bit.
Morrissey has a shot if he campaigns right
We need 60 flipin Senate seats and we're already in the tossup category for two easy pickups
I mean
bad news
Same for Indiana
Mike Braun is the ideal candidate
In fact, the margin by which Democrats voted over Republicans is lower than the difference between the % of Democrats and Republicans in terms of party membership.
he has the money to campaign effectively
PNT is tought man
tough*
As such, I think it's fair to say we have a good chance at unseating Manchin.
Lol,
cocaine mitch gets away with it again
Crystal Ball House Ratings Change: Now-open NC-9 moves from Leans R to Toss-up. Will explain further in our post-primary reaction piece.
Can I get a quick run down to poll results/ in progress?
@Winston Disaster
great news from WV
NC09 going blue
WV going blue
WV03 going blue
WV is going redder than in 2014
The ratio of dems that voted in the primary over Rs were 1.5
OH staying blue
This year it's 1.2
Links my guys?
Sounds pretty bad
It's a nightmare
@Winston The incumbent Republican got ousted
bad news for us
BOB CASEY:
PRO-ABORTION
ANTI-SOCIAL SECURITY
I'm back.
Hi back., I'm Dad!
@Nuke You did the wall of text again :I
Pittenger lost because he voted for the omnibus bill
just like Trump will lose in 2020 for signing it
May this be a damning lesson for Republicans
No wall = no vote
@Deleted User @FLanon Party while you can, but mind the increasingly loud clock ticking away in the corners of your consciousness.
The clock that reminds you how little time you and yours have left.
Not much more now.
Tick, tock.
Tick, tock.
@๐Boo-ton๐ wrong.
Tick.
Tock.
immigration is not event he top 5 of issues people find most important.
Wrong
They're not going to pull the "no vote no wall thing"
that's just you.
Prove it
Put to rest the issue of slavery in the US by introducing a bill ending all foreign aid to Israel, and giving the US population of blacks descended of African slaves in the US a one time payment. This payment will be equivalent to the next ten years of aid to Israel divided by the number of recipients. Enshrined in this bill will be a permanent ban on providing foreign aid to Israel, including a death penalty for any politician introducing a bill that would lead to foreign aid to Israel.
Who here supports giving blacks $37 billion in reparations while letting them go to Liberia?
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