MCGA

Alright, I've been putting this off for too long.

I'm trying to decide who to encourage my right and left wing friends to vote for.

I feel like I can convince a lot of liberals to back John Cox.

http://www.ktvu.com/news/unknown-republican-candidate-in-second-place-for-california-governors-race

A Black Guy was killed by cops in Sacramento

BLM is protesting

The footage was released of the incident here https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/national/family-calls-for-justice-after-video-shows-sacramento-police-kill-black-man-holding-phone/2018/03/22/6037742e-2e21-11e8-8ad6-fbc50284fce8_story.html

This evidence completely justified the police.

But yet people are treating it like it damns the police.

http://www.dailycal.org/2018/03/14/abolish-altogether-california-state-senator-kevin-de-leon-calls-lower-tuition/

<@&414473406264639488> Ready for more taxes boiii!

yay...

man i fucking hate that guy

He's a total cunt, and he's a serious contender for beating Feinstein @Swamp Killer

https://www.scpr.org/news/2018/03/23/81845/thousands-of-qualified-college-hopefuls-will-be-re/

True^

I got into Davis but if I didn't, I'd go to Montana State and never come back to California.

This place has ruined America.

"Davis" ayyy, how long until I see you wasting your life at the hospital in sac

I got rejected from davis

what was your GPA and SAT?

mine was a 3.97 and a 1280

GPA: 4.03 (didn't take SAT)
ACT: 30

I got rejected from UCLA which I kinda expected. I applied to UC Berkley for the lulz but still haven't heard back from them.
Hbu?

@Swamp Killer

@Sacramento I would be a biomedical engineer lol, no way in hell Id want to be that type of Doctor and give my services freely to spics

you must be huwhite

or azn

azns get fucked by aa too

can confirm

This is the main reason why most Asians in my school are Republicans

Yeah, best to at least get some minority support if we want to survive

This is what I believe is our maximum racial electoral benchmark:
Whites: 70%
Asians: 55%
Hispanics: 40%
Blacks: 20%
This is what we may get with each demographic at our very best IMO.

Push the black support up.

No

Not a chance.

Why not?

^^

Blacks don't vote red

Blacks voted for Obama 97-3

Trump 89-11

Obama was probably better than McCain, though.

both times

Same exact percentage?

just nearly

lemme look them up okay?

I was somewhat off, it was 95-4 with McCain

93-6 with Romney

Still, that's a disaster

I'm being generous with 20%

The 55% mark with the asians is based on the 1992 election

The 40% mark with hispanics is based on the 2004 election

I guesstimated the white vote, and the black vote.

I may have to push the hispanic one down a bit since Bush won with the "compassionate conservative" schtick, and we're not going to do that whatsoever in future elections.

Iowa (2012-2016):
White (-3%): +18 R Shift

Michigan (2012-2016):
White (-2%): +10 R

Maine (2012-2016):
White (-3%): +16 R

Florida (2012-2016):
White (-5%): +8 R

What do you think in the future is the absolute 100% maximum we could reach with white voters

Because I think that as the anti-white rhetoric intensifies more and more, there could be more of a bloc vote

i have data to project this, hold on

I think 70% is pretty much the max. Even less if the Republican party moves farther right

I think the "anti white rhetoric" won't have a huge effect on white voters

@FLanon (if ya haven't noticed, I have quite a lotta data)

Yeah, I'm looking into the numbers and making some homemade models of the viability of the Rs in the future

so anyways, you said you had a model

yes

I can show you what states Trump would win,

probably'd be a good resource for me, yes

based on nationwide margins

@FLanon give me something to work with,

ex. Whites: 50% R, 50% D, Hispanics: 60% D, 40% R

White vote projections in the future?

I can also adjust it for turnout

and yes

I don't know, it's too elastic I think

trust me on this

My hope is eventually things will get polarized to the point that whites will be forced to vote as an in-group as the blacks, or more realistically at least the hispanics do.

Not gonna happen, dude. Pathological altruism

It's been bred out

That's one theory

We could argue this over, but for all intents and purposes, say our best benchmark is something like 70% of the white vote for now

I agree with that

if White Voters overall voted 70% Republican

Trump would win 2020 with a 57.8% of the popular vote

the electoral college victory,

yeah, won't happen

437-101

I'm thinking long game here

perhaps a more realistic number then

I'll give a year, 2036

is that too far off to get anything accurate?

no

um

assuming turnout level is equal amongst all race groups,

and third party vote is minimal,

A Republican would need to win 82% of the White Vote to snatch victory

assuming the minority vote is what

brb

alright then