Message from @FLanon

Discord ID: 427614801410129920


2018-03-25 23:24:42 UTC  

This is the main reason why most Asians in my school are Republicans

2018-03-25 23:26:26 UTC  

Yeah, best to at least get some minority support if we want to survive

2018-03-25 23:40:29 UTC  

This is what I believe is our maximum racial electoral benchmark:
Whites: 70%
Asians: 55%
Hispanics: 40%
Blacks: 20%
This is what we may get with each demographic at our very best IMO.

2018-03-25 23:42:12 UTC  

Push the black support up.

2018-03-25 23:42:17 UTC  

No

2018-03-25 23:42:21 UTC  

Not a chance.

2018-03-25 23:42:26 UTC  

Why not?

2018-03-25 23:42:32 UTC  

^^

2018-03-25 23:42:42 UTC  

Blacks don't vote red

2018-03-25 23:43:06 UTC  

Blacks voted for Obama 97-3

2018-03-25 23:43:14 UTC  

Trump 89-11

2018-03-25 23:43:29 UTC  

Obama was probably better than McCain, though.

2018-03-25 23:43:35 UTC  

both times

2018-03-25 23:43:43 UTC  

Same exact percentage?

2018-03-25 23:44:02 UTC  

just nearly

2018-03-25 23:44:13 UTC  

lemme look them up okay?

2018-03-25 23:45:00 UTC  

I was somewhat off, it was 95-4 with McCain

2018-03-25 23:45:11 UTC  

93-6 with Romney

2018-03-25 23:46:01 UTC  

Still, that's a disaster

2018-03-25 23:48:13 UTC  

I'm being generous with 20%

2018-03-25 23:48:33 UTC  

The 55% mark with the asians is based on the 1992 election

2018-03-25 23:48:45 UTC  

The 40% mark with hispanics is based on the 2004 election

2018-03-25 23:49:08 UTC  

I guesstimated the white vote, and the black vote.

2018-03-25 23:50:28 UTC  

I may have to push the hispanic one down a bit since Bush won with the "compassionate conservative" schtick, and we're not going to do that whatsoever in future elections.

2018-03-25 23:55:11 UTC  

Iowa (2012-2016):
White (-3%): +18 R Shift

2018-03-25 23:55:21 UTC  

Michigan (2012-2016):
White (-2%): +10 R

2018-03-25 23:55:30 UTC  

Maine (2012-2016):
White (-3%): +16 R

2018-03-25 23:55:42 UTC  

Florida (2012-2016):
White (-5%): +8 R

2018-03-26 00:24:12 UTC  

What do you think in the future is the absolute 100% maximum we could reach with white voters

2018-03-26 00:24:55 UTC  

Because I think that as the anti-white rhetoric intensifies more and more, there could be more of a bloc vote

2018-03-26 00:25:12 UTC  

i have data to project this, hold on

2018-03-26 00:25:16 UTC  

I think 70% is pretty much the max. Even less if the Republican party moves farther right

2018-03-26 00:25:38 UTC  

I think the "anti white rhetoric" won't have a huge effect on white voters

2018-03-26 00:25:40 UTC  

@FLanon (if ya haven't noticed, I have quite a lotta data)

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399758833074831394/427624143589212180/data_king.png

2018-03-26 00:25:43 UTC  

Yeah, I'm looking into the numbers and making some homemade models of the viability of the Rs in the future

2018-03-26 00:26:32 UTC  

so anyways, you said you had a model

2018-03-26 00:26:44 UTC  

yes

2018-03-26 00:26:54 UTC  

I can show you what states Trump would win,

2018-03-26 00:26:56 UTC  

probably'd be a good resource for me, yes

2018-03-26 00:27:01 UTC  

based on nationwide margins

2018-03-26 00:27:18 UTC  

@FLanon give me something to work with,