Message from @FLanon
Discord ID: 427614801410129920
This is the main reason why most Asians in my school are Republicans
Yeah, best to at least get some minority support if we want to survive
This is what I believe is our maximum racial electoral benchmark:
Whites: 70%
Asians: 55%
Hispanics: 40%
Blacks: 20%
This is what we may get with each demographic at our very best IMO.
Push the black support up.
No
Not a chance.
Why not?
^^
Blacks don't vote red
Blacks voted for Obama 97-3
Trump 89-11
Obama was probably better than McCain, though.
both times
Same exact percentage?
just nearly
lemme look them up okay?
I was somewhat off, it was 95-4 with McCain
93-6 with Romney
Still, that's a disaster
I'm being generous with 20%
The 40% mark with hispanics is based on the 2004 election
I guesstimated the white vote, and the black vote.
I may have to push the hispanic one down a bit since Bush won with the "compassionate conservative" schtick, and we're not going to do that whatsoever in future elections.
Iowa (2012-2016):
White (-3%): +18 R Shift
Michigan (2012-2016):
White (-2%): +10 R
Maine (2012-2016):
White (-3%): +16 R
Florida (2012-2016):
White (-5%): +8 R
What do you think in the future is the absolute 100% maximum we could reach with white voters
Because I think that as the anti-white rhetoric intensifies more and more, there could be more of a bloc vote
i have data to project this, hold on
I think 70% is pretty much the max. Even less if the Republican party moves farther right
I think the "anti white rhetoric" won't have a huge effect on white voters
Yeah, I'm looking into the numbers and making some homemade models of the viability of the Rs in the future
so anyways, you said you had a model
yes
I can show you what states Trump would win,
probably'd be a good resource for me, yes
based on nationwide margins
@FLanon give me something to work with,
