They get the anti trump verified people to constantly tweet all day about upcoming elections and blue waves

@GermanEastAfrica

Dude.........

you're basing your worries off of Twitter?

No, it’s just a bit concerning.

It should be common knowledge that Twitter routinely bans right wingers and creates an environment where the most obnoxious leftists thrive

it shouldn't be

it's fucking Twitter

Yeah but they rally people to the polls

That's the problem

Twitter has been around for every GOP victory too

@GermanEastAfrica who the hell are you following on Twitter anyway

No one, I just go there to find some cringe.

#WVsen 2018 General Election
GOP Candidate 41% (+4)
Joe Manchin (D) 37%

National Research Inc./@GOPAC https://t.co/fPreaG3riQ

Can someone pull up the polls right now for Az?

@GermanEastAfrica well, if you haven't learned that Twitter is possibly the most cancerous website on the Internet, you do now

Oh trust me, I’ve been deep in the cringe mines before.

https://youtu.be/RVd0kWmEAwM

This is sad

Watch the whole thing

They’re brainwashed

Trump Job Approval:
Approve 48%
Disapprove 50%

@Rasmussen_Poll 4/19-23
https://t.co/YFPdGGPjZ2

Look how many seats are vulnerable for the Dems.

So vunerable

Seats we could gain

1. Ohio

2. Florida

3. Missouri

4. Wisconsin

5. Michigan

6. North Dakota

7. Montana

8. West Virginia

9. Pennsylvania

10. Indiana

The 10 most vulnerable seats

At best we could gain 10 seats.

It's unlikely the Dems are going to get a majority.

At best, they could gain Nevada but that's it.

the Virgin Brown vs the Chad Renacci

Who wants to make the template for this?

@Nuke

we're supporting Gibbons though

but yeah, Virgin vs Chad memes are a good idea

http://martianmagazine.com/comic/peace-able/

Martian Magazine is perfect

http://martianmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/goon-report.gif

NO matter what goes down tonight, use this for reference

what do you think the magin will be

Probably less than 8

@Deleted User The Gallup poll from last night was nothing unique to Trump

@Deleted User

<@&414474280081031169>

Special elections in your state!

Now what do those 3 people with those percentages before the midterms have in common and how does the exception differ

There's a CRAP ton of state legislative elections in New York

really makes you think

@FLanon @Deleted User

Special NY Senate Elections:

District 32
District 37

Special NY House Elections:

District 5
District 10
District 17
District 39
District 74
District 80
District 102
District 107
District 142

<@&414474280081031169>

https://ballotpedia.org/New_York_State_Senate_District_32

https://ballotpedia.org/New_York_State_Senate_District_37

the two State Senate races are in the Bronx, or slightly north of the Bronx

Curious, I haven’t seen any /pol threads about the special election today.

both uber Democratic zones

I'm talking 91% Hillary

actually, the other one is better

32 is solidly Democratic, but the GOP has a fighting chance in 37, but still...it's been Democratic for quite a while

Is someone going to make a thread about the Az election on pol?

Get the jimmies rustling.

/pol/ is currently down

Really?

I noticed the threads weren’t changing.

I wasn’t even aware that it could happen.

Pol being down.

Stop clogging this fucking Discord with that dumb blue wave shit

Do your ironic shilling on Facebook where it actually has an effect

This Discord needs moderation and censorship. It's not supposed to be an unregulated zone where exotic forms of autism can flourish

Mfw twitter has invaded

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I don't think Trump's election should be the template

Kinda retarded to compare presidential elections to a special election lol

If anything compare it to how much that representative won by

The rep before Thai I mean

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/04/24/us/elections/results-arizona-house-special-election.html

"Polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern, and first results are expected around 11 p.m. There will be no live forecast tonight. It's not as useful in races, like this one, where most of the vote is cast by mail."

11pm Eastern

8pm Califag time

who is staying up ? <@&432627153805377536> <@&399683356218097667>

debbie vs hiral

jesus christ

that's the best that democracy had to offer in that district

I sadly can't stay for long.

@Sam Southern - TN Hiral has some charisma

and I guess Debbie has that "conservative mom" appeal

anyone who wants a mom running their country is fucking insane.

yeah, but much of the country has poor judgment when it comes to electing politicians

much of the world, rather

hence why restricting the vote is so important.

extend the length of terms, decrease the total number of terms allowed to 2 for all positions. force these idiots to focus on the long term rather than getting elected in two years. restrict the vote to tax-paying, zero-welfare-receiving, head of household only.

I would prefer to make it only those who own land as well.

If you don't have a physical stake in the soil that makes up the nation, you are not invested in it.

Better than land would be a parenthood requirement for voting

Then the only ones that can vote are those with a stake in the future of the nation

IMO you gotta set standards for who becomes a parent in the first place

Remember, folks

we all know that there are certain...segments of the population who shouldn't be having children in the first place

The PA-18 electorate was D+4 by party registration by default, 48 to 44, appx. the same as RVs.
Turnout was 52.3% among reg. Dems, 51.7% among Reps, 32% w/other.
18-29 year olds represented just 6% of the electorate

I mean yeah of course

Maybe in return for certain welfare programs you get sterilized or something

The AZ-08 district has a lot of registered Rs and doesn't have the same D ancestry PA-18 did
Win/loss is one of many qs -- more important to compare to a baseline, see how Rs do w/high turnout, etc

Generally the type of people who do have children take more precautions than single people especially when voting

UT-03 -> solid Trump overperformance (!) + R registration advantage
GA-06 -> pretty close to Trump performance in Gingrich's old seat
KS-04 -> good R registration + big Trump underperformance

If you vote for someone and you are childless, you vote for your own future, if you vote and have children, you're trying to look out for their future

Yeah, lot of factors to go on

The game is tough

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/988840512571441152

I'm now convinced a Trump endorsement is a curse

a kiss of death

Trump endorsed a bunch of people who won

hell, when he endorsed Strange against Moore, Strange actually got a boost

not enough, but it was a boost

same with Saccone

of course, that's assuming you believe >polls

Handel won, Gianforte won, the Lieutenant Governor Trumpian candidate did better than Gillespie

Button Mash's real name ^

Jill Vogel was way more liberal than Gillespie

Also the AG candidate was way more conservative than the both of them and still lost by 6 points

Virginia is a blue state

The fact that people were surprised and the fact that Liberals were playing the “Muh Blue Wave” Card shows the retardation

This is the State Terry McAullife was Governor of

@Rhodesiaboo yep, Republicans are the underdog in Virginia now

it's been blue since 2008

"Jill Vogel was way more liberal than Gillespie"

in what way ?

She represents a district in the North of Virginia, opposes gerrymandering and overall a strong opposition to religious conservativism (which still has sway in Virginia)

If Gillespie had talked more about taxes and the economy to get the Northerners on side rather than MS-13 then he would have done much better

Maryland Governor GE:
Hogan (R) 44% (+13)
Baker (D) 31%
.
Hogan (R) 44% (+13)
Jealous (D) 31%
.
Hogan (R) 45% (+17)
Kamenetz (D) 28%

Goucher Poll 4/14-19
https://t.co/wivOeIX5RA #MDgov

RT @Politics_Polls: MARYLAND
Gov. Larry Hogan Job Approval:
Approve 69%
Disapprove 21%

Goucher Poll 4/14-19
https://t.co/SSEjFnZ1PZ

RT @Politics_Polls: MARYLAND
Trump Job Approval:
Approve 25%
Disapprove 70%

Goucher Poll 4/14-19
https://t.co/SSEjFnZ1PZ

You already told us this yesterday Bot

Gov. Hogan is pretty much 100% chance of winning

Prediction

Lesko wins by 8 points

Which is,

technically a loss

Goucher Poll must be severely biased

Well technically it's a win

Nope

But it is a severe underperformance

it's a swing

and therefore a loss

<:wojaktrump:422438927631384577>

a loss of votes. not a loss of the seat

it's indicative of a greater trend

Our <@&414481037620543488> nibbas better work to change the trend.

AZ-08 is a retirement community

I doubt there is anyone under 30 in that district

Probably some hispanics

Here's how to read the election

Under 8: Doom

Apart from them it's just a glorified retirement home

8-12: Bad, but nothing new

13-19: Things are improving

20+: The tide has turned!

If we win by 20+ I will honestly cry

Same

```Button Mash (CA) - Today at 3:46 PM Here's how to read the election
Under 8: Doom
8-12: Bad, but nothing new
13-19: Things are improving
20+: The tide has turned!```

Thanks again bot

@RoastedAdawg thanks

"If we win by 20+ I will honestly cry"

wow

I mean, that means that we'll keep the house.

@Pielover19 (We won't (and that's a good thing))

Huh? How so?

@Pielover19 because he's the local doomsayer

Also, we still got a 50 percent chance to win the house.

If Republicans lose the House, they'll learn their lesson and be forced to adapt to the will of their new base

lol if they lose the house then it just further contributes to the idea that Trump is just poison and needs to go

Oh, that's a good point

Like most people in the party itself are just waiting for 2018

If we lose big then they don't want Trump to stay

"lol if they lose the house then it just further contributes to the idea that Trump is just poison and needs to go"

not really

if we lose with trump at the head

then just about everyone who has any real position in the party will just want to see the back of him

Boys we need to ban assault vans

Theres some Nicaraguan guy talking about protests against their communist leader

On 4Chan

@Deleted User Obama lost the House in 2010, and you didn't see the left trying to abandon Obama

NeverTrumpers will be NeverTrumpers, but the blame will be on where it belongs - the GOPe

<:red:432915336648720404> we must flip Florida in Midterms

The Senate just voted to confirm Kyle Duncan to the 5th Circuit, Trump's FIFTEENTH appellate judge. A staggering number at this juncture. Most of them are young conservatives who could sit on the bench for 30+ years.

Do you guys think Rick Scott will unseat Bill Nelson?

Let’s talk about Hogg being gay for a minute

@RoastedAdawg Flip a coin, that's all you need to know for now

Can we just talk about David Hogg being gay

;;play rhodesians never die

Song **#1** has been selected: **Rhodesians Never Die** (03:23)

;;play 1

@Rhodesiaboo is it confirmed that he's gay ?

That explains how a White Male kid could be a liberal

Can we talk about how long it will take to remove Bernie?

You don't find many white males who are liberal anymore

if they are, you can easily assume they are gay

We don't even have any declared GOP candidates.

@RoastedAdawg Bernie is old as fuck

He’ll probably die soon

He'll inspire a wave of new socialists

And then we have Leahy as our other senator

Fucking been there since 1975

Who will probably also die

I swear to god all these old people in the senate

We need a wave of Tom Cottons to replace all these old guard loons

;;play trumpwave

Song **#1** has been selected: **TRUMPWAVE - Make America Great Again (TRUMP SONG)** (05:19)

;;play 1

;;stop

The queue has been emptied, `1` track has been removed.

When do polls close in Arizona

Estimated to be 11 PM Eastern

yeah that

Most people already voted

Early/absentee

Like 100,000 (mostly republican) retirees are on a permanent absentee vote

Anyone remember this?

Not really

@FLanon @Deleted User <@&414478847266783243> BREAKING: TX Gov. Abbott schedule June 30, 2018 special election for TX27, the seat left vacant by resigning Rep. Blake Farenthold.

TX-27 has an R+26 partisan lean, and elected Farenthold with a 23-point margin last cycle.

let's keep an eye on the primaries and make sure we endorse a solid candidate

one that fits the six pillars

what are they again ?

1.) grassroots
2.) ideological purists
3.) no personality cultists (reagan, bush, trump, anyone)
4.) no milquetoasts/squishes (will fight back against the media when justified)
5.) saints (no scandals)
6.) no too many ties to corporations and special interests
these are the six pillars to the perfect candidate

Thank God!

Fred Upton (MI-06) has filed for re-election

bullet dodged right there!

Okay, gentlemen. The special election

There is no good outcome

unless we win by 13+ points

which won't happen

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I'm not aware of any candidate ever who fits all 6 pillars

When're the results coming out?

10 PM EST

roger.

RT @Politics_Polls: NEW HAMPSHIRE
Trump Job Approval:
Approve 41%
Disapprove 52%

@UNHSurveyCenter 4/13-22
https://t.co/iocv0PuYQA

Make no mistake,

They're out to *get* you, White America

New Hampshire Governor GE:
Sununu (R) 49% (+22)
Marchand (D) 27%
Jarvis (L) 2%
.
Sununu (R) 51% (+27)
Kelly (D) 24%
Jarvis (L) 2%

@UNHSurveyCenter 4/13-22
https://t.co/Oba2GJoI5B #NHgov

NEW HAMPSHIRE
Gov. Chris Sununu (R) Job Approval:
Approve 59%
Disapprove 16%

@UNHSurveyCenter 4/13-22
https://t.co/Oba2GJ76H1 #NHgov