Message from @Deleted User
Discord ID: 438405759018074112
IMO you gotta set standards for who becomes a parent in the first place
Remember, folks
we all know that there are certain...segments of the population who shouldn't be having children in the first place
The PA-18 electorate was D+4 by party registration by default, 48 to 44, appx. the same as RVs.
Turnout was 52.3% among reg. Dems, 51.7% among Reps, 32% w/other.
18-29 year olds represented just 6% of the electorate
I mean yeah of course
Maybe in return for certain welfare programs you get sterilized or something
The AZ-08 district has a lot of registered Rs and doesn't have the same D ancestry PA-18 did
Win/loss is one of many qs -- more important to compare to a baseline, see how Rs do w/high turnout, etc
Generally the type of people who do have children take more precautions than single people especially when voting
UT-03 -> solid Trump overperformance (!) + R registration advantage
GA-06 -> pretty close to Trump performance in Gingrich's old seat
KS-04 -> good R registration + big Trump underperformance
If you vote for someone and you are childless, you vote for your own future, if you vote and have children, you're trying to look out for their future
Yeah, lot of factors to go on
The game is tough
I'm now convinced a Trump endorsement is a curse
a kiss of death
Trump endorsed a bunch of people who won
hell, when he endorsed Strange against Moore, Strange actually got a boost
not enough, but it was a boost
same with Saccone
of course, that's assuming you believe >polls
Button Mash's real name ^
Jill Vogel was way more liberal than Gillespie
Also the AG candidate was way more conservative than the both of them and still lost by 6 points
Virginia is a blue state
The fact that people were surprised and the fact that Liberals were playing the “Muh Blue Wave” Card shows the retardation
This is the State Terry McAullife was Governor of
@Rhodesiaboo yep, Republicans are the underdog in Virginia now
it's been blue since 2008
"Jill Vogel was way more liberal than Gillespie"
in what way ?
She represents a district in the North of Virginia, opposes gerrymandering and overall a strong opposition to religious conservativism (which still has sway in Virginia)
If Gillespie had talked more about taxes and the economy to get the Northerners on side rather than MS-13 then he would have done much better
Maryland Governor GE:
Hogan (R) 44% (+13)
Baker (D) 31%
.
Hogan (R) 44% (+13)
Jealous (D) 31%
.
Hogan (R) 45% (+17)
Kamenetz (D) 28%
Goucher Poll 4/14-19
https://t.co/wivOeIX5RA #MDgov
RT @Politics_Polls: MARYLAND
Gov. Larry Hogan Job Approval:
Approve 69%
Disapprove 21%
Goucher Poll 4/14-19
https://t.co/SSEjFnZ1PZ
RT @Politics_Polls: MARYLAND
Trump Job Approval:
Approve 25%
Disapprove 70%
Goucher Poll 4/14-19
https://t.co/SSEjFnZ1PZ
You already told us this yesterday Bot
Gov. Hogan is pretty much 100% chance of winning
Prediction
Lesko wins by 8 points
Which is,