midterms-discussions

Discord ID: 399676530394923010


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2018-02-07 02:52:19 UTC

a +18 swing to Dems

2018-02-07 02:54:33 UTC

what website are you using

2018-02-07 02:55:09 UTC

so 144 isn't finished yet

2018-02-07 02:55:19 UTC

super close

2018-02-07 02:55:23 UTC

you're referring to 129 ?

2018-02-07 02:57:35 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/410630145901199361/whoa2.png

2018-02-07 02:58:53 UTC

leave it to Shapiro to retweet that

2018-02-07 03:18:38 UTC

I have a theory,

2018-02-07 03:18:49 UTC

it's a little whitepilling,

2018-02-07 03:19:23 UTC

perhaps state legislative elections are not accurate at representing US Congressional elections,

2018-02-07 03:20:05 UTC

the evidence I'm basing this on is the fact the average shift for state legislative elections have remain unchanged since January,

2018-02-07 03:20:34 UTC

and from January until now, the congressional generical ballot has shifted from +10 to +6 in that time.

2018-02-07 03:25:10 UTC

Daily reminder that Clinton is literally the worst candidate that the Democrats had to offer

2018-02-07 03:27:22 UTC

So it would probably make sense why a district that dramatically voted for Trump in the 201 election went for a moderate Dem to represent their district this year

2018-02-07 03:59:15 UTC

Jeeeeeesus....

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/410645661080616970/dear_lord.png

2018-02-07 03:59:28 UTC

**53** point shift....

2018-02-07 04:13:42 UTC

"perhaps state legislative elections are not accurate at representing US Congressional Elections,"

2018-02-07 04:13:50 UTC

DING DING DING DING

2018-02-07 04:13:58 UTC

we have a winner

2018-02-07 04:34:09 UTC

i'm hoping so

2018-02-07 04:34:21 UTC

we'll wait until March I suppose

2018-02-07 06:38:35 UTC

MONDAY (Feb. 12, 2018)

>Minnesota State House 23B (Special Election)ย 

>(Republican) Jeremy Munsonย 


>Minnesota State Senate District 54 (Special Election)ย 
>(Republican) Denny McNamara
TUESDAY (FEB. 13, 2018)
>Florida State House District 72 Special Election James Buchanan is running

>Georgia State House District 175 (Special Election) John Lahood is running.

>Oklahoma State Senate District 27 (Special Election) Casey Murdock is running

2018-02-07 06:47:02 UTC

so the GOP did manage to win in District 144 ?

2018-02-07 13:25:20 UTC

>another 1/5 turnout race

2018-02-07 13:27:04 UTC

how the fuck do we improve this

2018-02-07 13:27:17 UTC

an app for Republicans to know when to go to the polls, perhaps?

2018-02-07 13:28:02 UTC

Tbh I think turnout will be much better when it's an actual midterm

2018-02-07 13:28:12 UTC

And not a special election

2018-02-07 13:28:50 UTC

Like when I went to the polls for Louisiana State Treasurer, I asked the poll lady how turnout is as I usually do

2018-02-07 13:28:59 UTC

And she said I was like the twentieth person to vote.

2018-02-07 13:29:28 UTC

The fact was that if I weren't like, an ultra-devotee, the kind of guy who wants to do absolutely anything I can to support Trump and the Republican Party right now...

2018-02-07 13:31:05 UTC

I wouldn't have actually known or cared to vote. In a state where state elections are usually lateterm (2019), why would you think to go to the polls in 2017?

2018-02-07 13:31:36 UTC

Plus if your public notice system isn't very good there's a very high chance you don't know about the election

2018-02-07 13:32:06 UTC

So I think a lot of these really small, state-district etc. special elections just might not have enough awareness that they exist to actually be useful.

2018-02-07 14:49:52 UTC

Like I'm saying, poster campagins are a good way of alleviating this.

2018-02-07 15:09:14 UTC

This used an old poll and things have actually improved a lot for Republocnas since then

2018-02-07 15:10:12 UTC

Basically all of the Democrats leads come from Blue Districts

2018-02-07 15:14:36 UTC

Democrats have these advantage: they are all in cities, all have internet

2018-02-07 15:15:27 UTC

We should make propaganda leaflets and print a couple dozen per sheet and cut them out and distribute them

2018-02-07 15:15:40 UTC

Maybe dump them out at universities from drones

2018-02-07 16:03:51 UTC

neeto idea

2018-02-07 16:03:59 UTC

I like your ingenuity

2018-02-07 16:13:26 UTC

Shiva Ayyadurai attacked as a Nazi

2018-02-07 16:14:10 UTC
2018-02-07 16:14:26 UTC

@Nuke an app can help but I'm not sure how many GOP boomer voters and older it would reach

2018-02-07 16:14:50 UTC

You guys in college?

2018-02-07 16:15:10 UTC

I think the GOP doesn't fund their candidates in these special election races because they already hold large majorities in the legislatures

2018-02-07 16:15:55 UTC

the only thing that does concerns me about Democrat improvement in these special elections is that it can function as a motivator for them to turn out in November for the big day

2018-02-07 16:16:22 UTC

because if they just kept losing miserably instead, they would continue to be massively demoralized, which would drive turnout down

2018-02-07 16:16:30 UTC

We should look into how we can inform boomers

2018-02-07 16:16:45 UTC

And we should target the black demographic really hard

2018-02-07 16:17:57 UTC

Boomers: Fox News, Talk Radio, and Facebook

2018-02-07 16:19:05 UTC

Blacks: the blacks who vote right wing are the types who see themselves as "red pilled"

2018-02-07 16:19:20 UTC

that is, they see themselves as special compared to their peers

2018-02-07 16:19:43 UTC

Lol they are the ones who are two standard deviations above average IQ

2018-02-07 16:19:45 UTC

you have to target that feeling of superiority

2018-02-07 16:20:09 UTC

and remind them that voting Democrat will give them the same shitty life they've been having for decades

2018-02-07 16:21:19 UTC

Voting Dem helped them under clinton

2018-02-07 16:21:53 UTC

We need to push civic nationalism with the boomers

2018-02-07 16:26:08 UTC

Haha the Dems are gonna feel like idiots when the Dow ends up surpassing it's previous high before the third week of February

2018-02-07 17:07:14 UTC

indeed

2018-02-07 17:07:21 UTC

btw, I forgot...what state are you from @Cade

2018-02-07 17:40:01 UTC
2018-02-07 17:43:30 UTC

@Red Storm (in NYC) lmao Shiva's definitely not a nazi

2018-02-07 17:45:10 UTC

I follow him, the closest thing one could warp is that time he posted a groyper of himself

2018-02-07 18:10:02 UTC

Shiva does say some weird stuff though

2018-02-07 22:03:14 UTC

Per Morning Consult poll: GOP with 13-pt edge on national security over Ds; 9-point edge on economy; 6 pt edge on jobs; +6 on immigration (!).

D biggest advantages on environment (+20) and health care (+7).

2018-02-07 22:08:04 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/410919673711034368/trust_more.png

2018-02-07 22:35:04 UTC

>dems can be trusted on education
umm what

2018-02-08 01:32:42 UTC

Okay, there is this caucus in the House of Representatives called the liberty caucus

2018-02-08 01:33:19 UTC

It's got a lot of immigration cucks, which if we're looking at a close margin in the house, could become a problem

2018-02-08 01:34:45 UTC

After comparing some voting records, a lot of these guys voted against immigration legislation and have safe seats.

2018-02-08 01:48:23 UTC

Here is my analyses on the congressmen in the organization:
Justin Amash, MI-3 (Vote out)
Dave Brat, VA-7 (Keep)
Jimmy Duncan, TN-2 (Maybe keep)
Paul Gosar, AZ-4 (Vote out)
Walter Jones, NC-3 (Maybe vote out)
Raรบl Labrador, ID-1 (Keep)
Thomas Massie, KY-4 (Maybe vote out)
Mark Sanford, SC-1 (Keep)

2018-02-08 01:59:00 UTC

why do you want to keep Mark Sanford

2018-02-08 01:59:27 UTC

when he votes against trump, there's some justification I see for it

2018-02-08 01:59:37 UTC

like against intelligence community spying

2018-02-08 01:59:46 UTC

IDK is he openly anti-trump or something?

2018-02-08 02:00:35 UTC

When I see the score, it's not the amount of times he's against Trump, it's WHAT he's against Trump on

2018-02-08 03:15:43 UTC

alright, which one, the freedom caucus?

we need the recurring general to be syria-general tier

2018-02-08 03:16:24 UTC

alright I'll keep myself up

once it proves itself then it will happen without us

redstorm is catchy enough that hannity would even say it

2018-02-08 04:04:50 UTC

I made a list displaying the percentage change needed to take each state from democrats(2016 election)

.37 New Hampshire
1.5 Minnesota
2.42 Nevada
2.96 Main
4.9 Colorado
5.32 Virginia
8.22 New Mexico
10.98 Oregon
11.37 Delaware
13.7 Connecticut
14.1 New Jersey
15.51 Rhode Island
16.2 Washington
17.07 Illinois
22.49 New York
25.45 Vermont
26.42 Maryland
27.2 Massachusetts
30.11 California
32.19 Hawaii
86.4 Washington D.C.

Let us not flee from leftist degeneracy to red territory, but make uncertain territory our home. So that growing cities do not make the mistakes we see so often in history.

2018-02-08 04:06:41 UTC

New Hampshire and Minnesota (if we do it right) can grant us about 5 representative seats and 2 senate seats (Both in MN)

2018-02-08 04:06:59 UTC

We need to have a great game in MN and humiliate the DFL

2018-02-08 04:08:59 UTC

If those New England states could give way just a slight bit we could maybe have them flip to our side permanently like Dixie did in the '80s

2018-02-08 04:11:31 UTC

here's a red storm template we can use as a sort of thematic backdrop in future redstorm threads, like a sort of branding

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411011137220640778/1518057517086.png

2018-02-08 04:11:59 UTC

not sure if @Aฬ€ฬ“ฬ‡ฬˆฬ‘ฬขฬงฬกฬฅฬฬญyeExEyeอจอฌฬผฬ˜ฬฒ has already posted one before, but here's one I cooked up a bit ago

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